Rochester University (MI)
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 745 (#1088) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 770 (#1092) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#353) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.8 (#497) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.4 (#392) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.453 (#419) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.361 (#386) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.369 (#390) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 840 (#517) | RD 350 | GP 6 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-09 | @ | Eastern Michigan Eagles | L | 52 - 66 |
| 2012-11-13 | @ | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2012-11-14 | @ | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2012-11-21 | @ | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2012-12-06 | @ | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | L | 77 - 88 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ | Detroit Mercy Titans | L | 67 - 102 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Maynard
|
G-F | 4 | 35.2 | 18.0 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 29.2 | -38 | -6.3 | -10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
S. Schizas
|
G | 4 | 30.5 | 15.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 20.5 | -36 | -6.0 | -13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 0 | 0 |
D. Hogan
|
- | 4 | 36.0 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 20.0 | -48 | -8.0 | -13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
M. Stokes
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
S. Mattia
|
- | 4 | 25.8 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -46 | -7.7 | -15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
B. Norman
|
- | 3 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG