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Rochester University (MI)

Also known as: Rochester University (MI) Warriors
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 745 (#1088) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 770 (#1092) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 994 (#353) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +3.8 (#497) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -5.4 (#392) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.453 (#419) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 67.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.361 (#386) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.369 (#390) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 6 More → 840 (#517) RD 350 | GP 6

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 52 - 66
2012-11-13 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 56 - 73
2012-11-14 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 65 - 74
2012-11-21 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 59 - 56
2012-12-06 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 77 - 88
2012-12-08 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 67 - 102

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Maynard D. Maynard G-F 4 35.2 18.0 7.2 3.5 2.0 0.8 2.2 0.0 29.2 -38 -6.3 -10.0 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
S. Schizas S. Schizas G 4 30.5 15.8 3.8 0.8 2.0 0.5 2.2 0.0 20.5 -36 -6.0 -13.5 0 0 0 -0.23 0 0
D. Hogan D. Hogan - 4 36.0 14.5 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.8 3.8 0.0 20.0 -48 -8.0 -13.8 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
M. Stokes M. Stokes - 1 25.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 -1 -0.2 -0.4 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
S. Mattia S. Mattia - 4 25.8 3.2 1.8 2.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 6.0 -46 -7.7 -15.1 0 0 0 -0.53 0 0
B. Norman B. Norman - 3 21.0 3.0 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 5.3 - - - 0 0 0 0.06 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG