Roberts Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 823 (#412) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 799 (#520) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 814 (#589) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.3 (#290) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.4 (#489) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.306 (#436) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.680 (#235) | NetEff +7.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#544) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.206 (#549) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.295 (#565) | AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 87.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.272 (#555) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 81.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.187 (#539) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.192 (#543) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 685 (#507) | RD 120 | GP 17 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Saint Anselm | L | 86 - 107 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Felician | L | 90 - 95 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Mansfield | W | 100 - 91 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Edinboro | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 83 - 88 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Clarion | L | 84 - 101 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Kent St. | L | 68 - 111 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Molloy | L | 75 - 90 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Queens (NY) | L | 86 - 92 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Holy Family | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Redeemer Ancas. (CAN) | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Mercy | W | 84 - 64 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Dist. Columbia | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Staten Island | L | 73 - 93 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | D'Youville | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Daemen | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 74 - 96 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Mercy | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared White | - | 1 | 37.6 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 18.0 | -18 | -1.1 | -13.8 | 47.4 | 44.4 | 75.0 | 1.51 | 60.2 | 57.9 |
| Michael Harrell | - | 1 | 36.0 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | -106 | -8.8 | -75.9 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 83.3 | -1.47 | 82.0 | 79.2 |
| Jeremiah Anderson | - | 1 | 30.4 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 210 | 10.0 | 36.4 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.15 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Tavian Pullock | - | 1 | 29.1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 157 | 7.8 | 39.1 | 56.2 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -1.65 | 61.7 | 59.4 |
| Arthur Roache | - | 1 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | -47 | -3.9 | -33.4 | 71.4 | 0.0 | 85.7 | -1.22 | 79.4 | 71.4 |
| Oliver Spence | - | 1 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -87 | -7.2 | -65.1 | 77.8 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.62 | 71.4 | 77.8 |
| Tristin Harcourt | - | 1 | 32.7 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 27.0 | 185 | 14.2 | 1159.3 | 85.7 | 0 | 44.4 | -0.75 | 73.0 | 85.7 |
| Collin Woods | - | 12 | 30.1 | 15.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 11.4 | 12.7 | -89 | -5.9 | -18.7 | 50.4 | 34.6 | 67.3 | -2.58 | 59.6 | 56.9 |
| Jordan Brown | - | 16 | 34.1 | 13.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 11.4 | 6.9 | -128 | -4.4 | -27.6 | 42.9 | 31.4 | 66.7 | -0.97 | 52.5 | 50.3 |
| Keonjay Carter | - | 16 | 29.5 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 10.1 | 6.2 | -106 | -5.9 | -29.8 | 38.9 | 38.0 | 77.2 | 0.52 | 52.7 | 47.2 |
| Khalik Gardner | - | 13 | 22.7 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 9.5 | 7.2 | -28 | -1.9 | -8.8 | 42.3 | 11.5 | 71.1 | 1.59 | 48.0 | 43.5 |
| Trey Kleitz | - | 16 | 25.7 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 6.6 | -153 | -8.5 | -48.7 | 43.3 | 36.5 | 64.1 | -3.84 | 59.6 | 57.2 |
| Jordan Trahan | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -67 | -4.5 | -25.7 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.19 | 41.5 | 28.6 |
| Mohamed Soumahoro | - | 6 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 7.5 | -62 | -7.8 | -26.3 | 54.8 | 0 | 44.4 | -1.42 | 54.0 | 54.8 |
| Jaden Battle | - | 14 | 13.8 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 6.1 | 1.6 | -43 | -2.9 | -34.1 | 34.9 | 35.5 | 77.8 | 1.05 | 49.5 | 47.7 |
| Jaden Lee | - | 15 | 17.8 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 3.2 | -28 | -1.8 | -24.3 | 41.2 | 37.3 | 83.3 | 1.41 | 55.7 | 53.1 |
| Zach Hicks | - | 15 | 19.8 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 5.5 | -23 | -1.4 | -11.2 | 51.4 | 0 | 52.0 | 1.83 | 52.5 | 51.4 |
| David Pope | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -44 | -4.4 | -145.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.73 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Ashton Pratt | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | -131 | -7.3 | -54.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.04 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Justin Minor | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -32 | -3.2 | -100.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Hadi Alshami | - | 2 | 13.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 9 | 3.0 | 12.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.8 | 73.5 | 66.7 |
| Greyson Trubia | - | 14 | 12.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.7 | -32 | -2.3 | -20.5 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 70.0 | -0.08 | 49.4 | 44.6 |
| TJ Holloway | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -6.0 | -112 | -5.9 | -42.2 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.9 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Jeffrey Mulhern | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -39 | -2.1 | -40.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.93 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Christopher Smith | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -31 | -6.2 | -58.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Noah Hutchins | - | 1 | 31.1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 75 | 3.8 | 18.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.11 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Tyrell Miller | - | 1 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -60 | -3.3 | -31.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.07 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Joshua Naklen | - | 1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -34 | -2.0 | -25.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.34 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Jonald Joseph | - | 8 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | -21 | -3.0 | -57.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jack Marziale | - | 2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Rigdon | - | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -24.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| James Rosales | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Daniel Boateng | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -68 | -4.5 | -60.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0 | 0 |
| James Connolly | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -65 | -3.4 | -33.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Derek Long | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -60 | -7.5 | -543.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Christopher Nana | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -40 | -2.2 | -26.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.83 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kevon Corley | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -62 | -4.8 | -77.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Darrius Phillips | - | 1 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 97 | 5.4 | 33.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4.54 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG