Roberts Wesleyan
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 920 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 834 (#265) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 814 (#589) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.8 (#268) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -13.4 (#489) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.306 (#247) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.680 (#228) | NetEff +7.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.210 (#284) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.206 (#285) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.295 (#288) | AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 87.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.272 (#555) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 81.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.187 (#539) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.192 (#543) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 679 (#508) | RD 118 | GP 18 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Saint Anselm | L | 86 - 107 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Felician | L | 90 - 95 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Mansfield | W | 100 - 91 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Edinboro | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 83 - 88 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Clarion | L | 84 - 101 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Kent St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Molloy | L | 75 - 90 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Queens (NY) | L | 86 - 92 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Holy Family | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Redeemer Ancas. (CAN) | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Mercy | W | 84 - 64 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Dist. Columbia | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Daemen | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-13 | vs | Molloy | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2026-02-15 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Dist. Columbia | W | 101 - 66 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ | Staten Island | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Daemen | L | 73 - 89 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | D'Youville | W | 84 - 82 |
| 2026-03-04 | @ | Staten Island | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ | Daemen | L | 66 - 86 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Woods | - | 22 | 30.4 | 15.0 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 11.1 | 11.7 | - | - | - | - | 49.8 | 36.1 | 70.4 | - | 59.5 | 56.9 |
| Jordan Brown | - | 25 | 33.3 | 12.5 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 10.7 | 7.5 | - | - | - | - | 39.7 | 29.3 | 82.1 | - | 51.8 | 46.4 |
| Keonjay Carter | - | 25 | 27.6 | 11.5 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 9.0 | 7.1 | - | - | - | - | 40.7 | 37.4 | 77.0 | - | 54.5 | 48.9 |
| Khalik Gardner | - | 22 | 21.6 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 8.3 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | 46.7 | 25.0 | 68.4 | - | 52.6 | 49.2 |
| Mohamed Soumahoro | - | 16 | 21.3 | 7.9 | 5.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 9.4 | - | - | - | - | 54.0 | 0.0 | 54.2 | - | 55.8 | 54.0 |
| Trey Kleitz | - | 26 | 22.8 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 5.5 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 39.4 | 55.0 | - | 61.2 | 61.0 |
| Jaden Lee | - | 23 | 16.7 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 3.6 | - | - | - | - | 43.2 | 39.1 | 78.9 | - | 58.9 | 56.8 |
| Jaden Battle | - | 22 | 11.2 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | 35.6 | 35.2 | 70.0 | - | 49.3 | 48.0 |
| Zach Hicks | - | 25 | 16.3 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 51.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.9 | 51.0 |
| Hadi Alshami | - | 8 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 64.7 | 0 | 84.6 | - | 72.6 | 64.7 |
| Greyson Trubia | - | 20 | 9.7 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 41.9 | 100.0 | 72.2 | - | 51.4 | 43.5 |
| Caleb Rigdon | - | 7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jonald Joseph | - | 12 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sayo Kenneth | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Markus Robinson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Spencer Glenn | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Eli Tanner | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brad Cantrell | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Marziale | - | 6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James Rosales | - | 2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG