Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 729 (#380) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 796 (#344) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 880 (#699) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.4 (#270) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.9 (#579) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.281 (#302) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.235 (#222) | AdjNet -10.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.225 (#224) | AdjNet -10.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.341 (#219) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.361 (#620) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.215 (#648) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.228 (#647) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 805 (#546) | RD 109 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Wis.-Whitewater | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Green Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | St. Norbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Carthage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Beloit | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Wis.-La Crosse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Cornell College | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Grinnell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Lake Forest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Elmhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Illinois Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Grinnell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Knox | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Lake Forest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Illinois Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-10 | vs | Cornell College | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Knox | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Beloit | W | 65 - 58 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.