🐻⬇️🏀

Ripon

Also known as: Ripon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 792 (#619) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 828 (#566) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 880 (#699) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -11.2 (#269) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.9 (#579) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.281 (#611) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.235 (#499) AdjNet -10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.6 More → 0.225 (#502) AdjNet -10.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.341 (#492) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.361 (#620) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.215 (#648) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.228 (#647) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 23 More → 807 (#553) RD 109 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Wis.-Whitewater L 58 - 76
2025-11-10 @ Green Bay L 63 - 83
2025-11-12 @ St. Norbert L 43 - 67
2025-11-18 vs Lakeland L 73 - 77
2025-11-21 @ Millikin L 58 - 73
2025-11-22 vs Bethany Lutheran L 55 - 73
2025-11-26 vs Carthage L 56 - 84
2025-12-02 @ Beloit W 59 - 46
2025-12-04 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 62 - 72
2025-12-06 @ Cornell College W 62 - 53
2025-12-13 vs Grinnell L 95 - 104
2025-12-17 @ Wis.-Oshkosh L 74 - 100
2025-12-19 vs Lake Forest L 69 - 74
2025-12-30 @ Elmhurst L 57 - 84
2026-01-07 @ Monmouth (IL) L 75 - 81
2026-01-10 @ Illinois Col. L 63 - 66
2026-01-13 vs Lawrence W 83 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Grinnell L 71 - 109
2026-01-24 vs Knox L 77 - 81
2026-01-27 @ Lake Forest L 81 - 88
2026-01-31 vs Illinois Col. W 67 - 62
2026-02-05 @ Lawrence L 71 - 75
2026-02-07 vs Monmouth (IL) L 66 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marshawn Robinson - 10 26.1 11.9 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.5 2.2 9.8 6.5 -66 -6.6 -23.7 42.9 29.0 78.8 -3.11 52.9 47.4
Seth Bunders - 23 31.1 11.8 4.2 2.8 1.7 0.3 2.2 12.7 5.9 -104 -4.7 -20.2 32.6 28.7 80.7 0.63 42.9 38.7
Michael Asman - 16 26.0 10.2 4.2 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.4 8.2 6.8 -83 -5.5 -51.4 46.6 40.7 73.9 -1.54 57.8 55.7
Kolby Williams - 23 28.0 9.0 5.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.8 7.1 8.1 -87 -4.0 -16.7 44.5 14.3 72.8 -2.45 51.6 44.8
CJ Brown - 23 27.8 7.4 1.9 1.7 1.1 0.1 1.6 7.3 3.3 -36 -1.6 -7.4 37.9 27.3 80.0 1.41 46.7 43.2
Jack Field - 23 16.9 6.4 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.8 5.6 3.6 -9 -0.4 -2.7 43.8 35.6 81.8 1.59 55.3 53.9
Sam Leoni - 22 24.2 6.4 1.9 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.7 5.0 4.9 -126 -5.7 -33.1 40.5 36.7 80.0 0.14 53.0 45.5
Jarton Davis - 8 15.0 6.0 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.2 5.0 3.0 -25 -3.6 -47.2 42.5 35.0 70.0 -1.29 54.1 51.2
Anton Kilde - 20 13.5 4.6 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.2 -62 -3.1 -61.3 50.8 48.8 70.0 0.36 68.2 67.5
Keenan Rahn - 21 11.4 3.0 2.2 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.8 18 0.9 8.8 47.6 37.9 92.9 2.39 66.4 60.7
Joey Daun - 13 6.8 2.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.8 2.2 -4 -0.3 -2.9 39.1 33.3 91.7 -0.73 60.1 50.0
Jose Gonzales - 8 4.5 2.1 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 -13 -1.9 -88.9 62.5 0 87.5 0.51 73.8 62.5
Landon Lee - 19 6.9 1.9 0.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.3 -31 -1.7 -37.7 39.4 37.5 100.0 0.94 50.7 43.9
Abe Dykstra - 6 4.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.2 -10 -2.0 -151.9 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.03 37.2 33.3
Houston McKenzie - 7 4.5 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.4 -1 -0.2 -5.2 66.7 66.7 75.0 0.21 94.5 100.0
Olin Zellmer - 3 2.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Jackson Flowers - 5 1.7 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.8 -11 -2.8 -167.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.03 63.0 33.3
Jake Thomsen - 3 3.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 7 3.5 86.6 50.0 0.0 0 1.19 50.0 50.0
Nick Ahlquist - 2 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jack Ellickson - 2 2.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Birch Gunja - 2 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Christian Wilson - 4 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -7 -0.3 -1.4 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
Isaac Knoll - 4 2.4 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 -7 -2.3 -212.7 0 0 0 0.52 0 0
Fisher MacKenzie - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caeden Holly - 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -1 -1.0 -14.0 0.0 0 0 0.03 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG