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Rider

Season: 2026 2024 2023 2022 2018 2017 2016 2015 2013
Also known as: Rider
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1021 (#303) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1060 (#230) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1005 (#409) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +17.2 (#150) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.997 (#125) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.5 More → 0.972 (#107) AdjNet +30.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.9 More → 0.972 (#110) AdjNet +29.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.7 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.905 (#90) AdjO 89.7 | AdjD 64.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.613 (#194) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.798 (#104) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.761 (#122) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1081 (#229) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs Eastern W 86 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Flash Burton - 1 23.1 21.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 14.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 12.5 85.7 - 61.5 53.6
Zion Cruz - 1 31.1 16.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 7.0 - - - 53.8 50.0 0 - 61.5 61.5
Mohamad Diallo - 1 17.8 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 - - - 100.0 0 66.7 - 94.9 100.0
Caleb Smith - 1 20.6 10.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 104 5.8 27.8 100.0 0 44.4 3.25 71.8 100.0
Daniel Helterhoff - 1 12.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 - - - 75.0 0 66.7 - 75.2 75.0
Shemani Fuller - 1 10.2 7.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 - - - 100.0 0 60.0 - 83.3 100.0
Cole McCabe - 1 25.0 5.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 9.0 - - - 28.6 50.0 0 - 35.7 35.7
Davis Bynum - 1 13.4 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 33.3 - 34.7 33.3
AB Coulibaly - 1 8.8 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Devean Williams - 1 8.9 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 31 3.4 92.7 100.0 0 0 0.99 100.0 100.0
Jamir McNeil - 1 18.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Antwan Wilson - 1 10.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG