🐻⬇️🏀

Eastern

Also known as: Eastern
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 956 (#454) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 958 (#422) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 961 (#585) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -8.5 (#240) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -6.5 (#469) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.456 (#498) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.7 More → 0.944 (#10) NetEff +26.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.3 More → 0.464 (#369) AdjNet -1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.455 (#371) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 77.1 More → 0.472 (#369) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 77.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.514 (#367) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.387 (#504) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.407 (#487) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 946 (#441) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Randolph-Macon L 71 - 97
2025-11-08 vs Wilson W 84 - 77
2025-11-13 vs Dickinson W 84 - 78
2025-11-15 @ Rider L 54 - 86
2025-11-19 @ Gwynedd Mercy L 80 - 94
2025-11-22 vs Johns Hopkins L 69 - 77
2025-11-25 @ Franklin & Marshall L 73 - 85
2025-12-03 @ Salisbury L 63 - 71
2025-12-06 vs Penn St.-Scranton L 0 - 0
2025-12-29 @ Salisbury L 46 - 72
2025-12-30 vs Misericordia L 52 - 60
2026-01-03 vs Rochester (NY) W 74 - 70
2026-01-07 vs York (PA) L 69 - 86
2026-01-10 vs Albright W 87 - 68
2026-01-14 @ Widener L 77 - 79
2026-01-17 @ Stevenson W 75 - 73
2026-01-18 vs Blackburn W 105 - 49
2026-01-21 vs Messiah W 90 - 57
2026-01-24 @ Hood L 82 - 91
2026-01-28 @ Alvernia L 64 - 89
2026-01-31 @ Albright L 70 - 79
2026-02-04 vs Widener W 85 - 83
2026-02-07 vs Stevenson W 64 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jalen Snead - 1 21.0 24.0 7.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 13.0 22.0 55 3.4 16.9 76.9 0 66.7 2.15 76.7 76.9
Zion Fruster - 1 19.4 16.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 14.0 - - - 75.0 75.0 50.0 - 90.1 93.8
Andre Washington - 1 19.4 16.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 11.0 31 1.6 10.1 77.8 50.0 100.0 0.55 84.7 83.3
Olise Onyeka - 20 30.6 15.6 10.3 1.1 1.1 1.9 2.5 11.0 16.5 -16 -0.9 -3.2 47.7 25.6 63.6 4.27 55.1 50.2
D.J. Johnson - 1 30.0 14.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 15.0 50 3.1 13.1 22.2 0.0 90.9 4.04 50.6 22.2
Preston Turner - 1 20.6 14.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 62.5 80.0 0 - 87.5 87.5
Connor Fleet - 20 30.3 12.6 2.5 2.9 0.9 0.1 3.2 10.5 5.2 -55 -3.2 -11.7 38.6 26.4 83.5 -0.93 51.3 44.0
Justin Savage - 1 27.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 2.0 -6 -1.5 -29.6 30.8 25.0 100.0 -0.68 41.9 34.6
Dejuan Taylor - 20 26.7 11.9 5.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.6 8.9 8.0 -71 -4.2 -15.7 53.1 33.3 61.3 -0.93 56.1 53.6
Markus Blackwell - 1 20.6 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 71.4 33.3 0 - 78.6 78.6
DaRon Sherman - 20 31.6 9.6 4.4 3.1 2.0 0.1 1.9 8.0 9.4 -44 -2.6 -9.5 40.3 34.0 68.2 -1.23 50.8 45.9
Kooper Jacobi - 1 19.4 9.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 - - - 80.0 0.0 50.0 - 76.5 80.0
Prince Johnson - 1 16.4 9.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 0 83.3 - 67.8 50.0
Malik Olafioye - 1 18.6 9.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 65.4 66.7
Meechie White - 1 21.4 9.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 56.2 56.2
Mazen Sayed - 1 18.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 81 5.1 21.6 50.0 0 100.0 3.36 69.4 50.0
Devin Benson - 1 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 6 0.4 4.7 66.7 100.0 0 -0.23 100.0 100.0
Pat Bean - 1 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -8 -1.6 -16.5 40.0 50.0 0 -3.4 60.0 60.0
Nazareth Fisher - 1 11.4 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Mason Lewis - 19 23.0 5.4 4.1 1.3 1.1 0.6 1.1 4.9 6.4 -46 -2.9 -12.6 39.8 26.3 62.1 2.06 48.2 45.2
Nick Mate - 19 14.5 5.2 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.9 4.4 1.9 -77 -4.5 -35.4 34.5 35.2 68.2 -0.39 52.3 49.4
Anthony WIlliams - 15 12.0 4.2 2.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.3 2.9 4.9 -52 -1.6 -29.1 59.1 0.0 73.3 -0.54 62.3 59.1
Jake Okon - 1 16.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 28 1.8 31.0 33.3 33.3 50.0 1.19 51.5 50.0
Andrew Austin - 1 16.8 4.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Bryson Spruell - 10 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 3.4 0.6 -10 -1.1 -76.9 29.4 28.6 63.6 1.69 42.5 38.2
Justin Ezeukwu - 17 9.2 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.6 0.8 -35 -2.3 -19.6 33.3 34.5 75.0 -1.17 47.4 44.4
Josh Harris - 19 11.7 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 2.3 2.0 -14 -0.9 -9.2 36.4 15.8 69.6 -2.08 47.1 39.8
Cam Lane - 1 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -12 -1.2 -28.9 100.0 0 0 -0.88 100.0 100.0
Terry McMorris - 1 15.9 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ethan Davis - 5 3.1 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.6 -8 -2.7 -48.6 20.0 0.0 85.7 -0.73 49.5 20.0
Josh Fadahunsi - 20 9.3 1.1 1.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.9 -51 -3.0 -46.4 28.0 0.0 50.0 -1.14 33.7 28.0
Cornel Wheeler - 3 4.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 1.3 -4 -4.0 -51.9 0.0 0.0 75.0 -0.69 31.5 0.0
Michael Wallace - 9 4.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.9 16 2.3 56.9 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.11 38.3 40.0
Zayd Lee - 5 2.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 25.0 0 0 -0.42 25.0 25.0
Nic Kimball - 7 3.9 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 -5 -1.0 -30.7 50.0 0 0 -0.67 50.0 50.0
Sebastian Gonzalez - 4 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -1 -0.5 -26.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.29 0.0 0.0
Kendall Pala - 2 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 4.0 240.0 0 0 0 1.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG