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Rider Broncs

2013 Team Stats (5 games)

60.2
PPG
65.0
Opp
-4.8
Margin
40.8%
FG%
32.6%
3P%
67.7%
FT%
32.8
RPG
8.8
APG
16.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.4
Adj PPG
62.1
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1071 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1053 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1060 (#91) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +0.2 (#161) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +1.1 (#151) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.520 (#157) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.0 More โ†’ 0.471 (#173) AdjNet -1.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.0 More โ†’ 0.471 (#173) AdjNet -1.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 62.1 More โ†’ 0.507 (#157) AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 62.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 59.7 More โ†’ 0.523 (#145) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 59.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.547 (#144) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.550 (#144) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1053 (#128) RD 111 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 79 - 54
2012-11-13 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 46 - 54
2012-11-17 vs Monmouth Hawks W 65 - 62
2012-11-19 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 76 - 88
2012-11-21 @ SMU Mustangs L 70 - 83
2012-11-23 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 86 - 71
2012-11-25 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 74 - 60
2012-11-29 vs La Salle Explorers L 52 - 63
2012-12-01 @ Drexel Dragons W 75 - 66
2012-12-07 @ Siena Saints W 62 - 56
2012-12-09 vs Fairfield Stags L 52 - 65
2012-12-20 @ Princeton Tigers L 45 - 62
2012-12-28 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 56 - 68
2012-12-31 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 66 - 73
2013-01-04 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 65 - 71
2013-01-06 vs Siena Saints W 72 - 53
2013-01-10 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 69 - 60
2013-01-13 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 64 - 57
2013-01-17 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 66 - 54
2013-01-20 vs Iona Gaels W 67 - 62
2013-01-25 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 50 - 67
2013-01-27 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 51 - 62
2013-02-01 @ Fairfield Stags L 59 - 69
2013-02-03 @ Marist Red Foxes W 64 - 58
2013-02-07 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 72 - 69
2013-02-09 @ Iona Gaels L 71 - 78
2013-02-14 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 72 - 57
2013-02-17 vs Marist Red Foxes W 67 - 63
2013-02-23 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 61 - 54
2013-02-28 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 68 - 59
2013-03-02 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 65 - 61
2013-03-09 vs Fairfield Stags L 42 - 43
2013-03-19 @ Hartford Hawks W 63 - 54
2013-03-23 @ East Carolina Pirates L 54 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jonathan Thompson Jonathan Thompson G 34 33.9 13.1 3.9 3.1 1.5 0.6 2.1 1.6 18.5 13 28 0.5 0.6 51.9 38.5 80.0 2.06 341.5 61.1
Anthony Myles Anthony Myles G 34 30.7 12.4 4.6 1.6 0.8 0.5 2.4 1.9 15.5 -20 28 -0.7 -1.0 27.3 26.7 81.1 0.67 255.2 33.3
D. Stewart D. Stewart F 34 28.9 10.6 7.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 2.2 1.8 16.1 -30 28 -1.1 -1.6 52.5 0.0 71.8 -1.22 229.7 52.5
Nurideen Lindsey Nurideen Lindsey G 32 22.8 8.0 2.8 1.6 1.3 0.2 3.2 1.2 9.6 -72 27 -2.7 -5.1 36.8 25.0 53.3 -2.41 288.1 39.5
Zedric Sadler Zedric Sadler G 32 22.3 5.1 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 1.6 1.1 7.3 2 26 0.1 0.1 31.4 20.0 57.1 0.29 215.3 35.7
Junior Fortunat Junior Fortunat F 32 15.6 4.7 3.5 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 0.7 7.5 0 26 0.0 0.0 33.3 0 41.7 -2.21 283.5 33.3
Tommy Pereira Tommy Pereira G 34 13.9 3.9 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 4.8 37 28 1.3 4.1 43.3 42.3 0 1.11 220.0 61.7
Shawn Valentine Shawn Valentine F 33 16.5 2.9 2.8 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.2 0.6 5.3 27 28 1.0 2.5 25.0 21.4 50.0 0.18 229.9 32.5
Dera Nd-Ezuma Dera Nd-Ezuma C 32 12.7 2.5 1.8 0.4 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.4 4.6 -67 26 -2.6 -8.5 42.9 0 85.7 -4.63 237.1 42.9
Khalil Alford Khalil Alford G 25 6.6 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.8 -39 20 -1.9 -11.5 23.1 16.7 0 -4.55 165.4 26.9
Emerson Bursis Emerson Bursis F 5 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -0.16 200.0 100.0
J. Nwaniemeke J. Nwaniemeke G 13 3.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 4 9 0.4 6.5 20.0 33.3 0 -0.11 110.0 30.0
Myles Melville Myles Melville - 4 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Stewart D. Stewart F 8 4.8 0.5 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.5 -3 6 -0.5 -4.1 0.0 0 0 -0.36 200.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG