Rider Broncs
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1114 (#88) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1104 (#80) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1097 (#46) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.3 (#135) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.3 (#129) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.679 (#66) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.522 (#145) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.521 (#145) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.551 (#125) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.613 (#67) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.605 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.618 (#91) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1094 (#88) | RD 127 | GP 30 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-16 | @ | Temple | L | 62 - 65 |
| 1995-11-25 | vs | Boston University | W | 64 - 62 |
| 1995-12-02 | vs | Saint Peter's | W | 89 - 81 |
| 1995-12-04 | @ | UMBC | W | 69 - 68 |
| 1995-12-06 | vs | American | W | 74 - 66 |
| 1995-12-13 | @ | Maryland | L | 67 - 83 |
| 1995-12-27 | N | Kentucky | L | 65 - 90 |
| 1995-12-28 | @ | St. John's (NY) | L | 69 - 79 |
| 1996-01-03 | @ | Siena | W | 73 - 53 |
| 1996-01-06 | @ | Monmouth | L | 54 - 79 |
| 1996-01-11 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | L | 56 - 78 |
| 1996-01-13 | @ | Marist | L | 73 - 89 |
| 1996-01-17 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 70 - 51 |
| 1996-01-20 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 88 - 70 |
| 1996-01-22 | vs | Robert Morris | W | 79 - 59 |
| 1996-01-25 | @ | Wagner | L | 67 - 76 |
| 1996-01-27 | @ | FDU | W | 76 - 71 |
| 1996-01-30 | vs | Long Island University | W | 112 - 80 |
| 1996-02-03 | vs | Monmouth | L | 66 - 70 |
| 1996-02-05 | @ | Long Island University | W | 96 - 75 |
| 1996-02-08 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | L | 70 - 80 |
| 1996-02-10 | vs | Marist | W | 80 - 67 |
| 1996-02-14 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 56 - 50 |
| 1996-02-17 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 81 - 49 |
| 1996-02-19 | @ | Robert Morris | W | 94 - 67 |
| 1996-02-24 | vs | FDU | W | 88 - 72 |
| 1996-02-26 | vs | Wagner | W | 83 - 67 |
| 1996-03-01 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 84 - 70 |
| 1996-03-04 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | W | 74 - 70 |
| 1996-03-08 | @ | Monmouth | L | 59 - 60 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.