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Rice

Also known as: Rice Owls, Rice
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 925 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 891 (#245) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More β†’ 903 (#277) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More β†’ -3.1 (#207) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More β†’ -3.0 (#200) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.325 (#234) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.1 More β†’ 0.411 (#188) AdjNet -3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.1 More β†’ 0.411 (#188) AdjNet -3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 68.1 More β†’ 0.428 (#210) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 68.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 66.6 More β†’ 0.412 (#237) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.383 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.380 (#224) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 29 More β†’ 900 (#228) RD 140 | GP 29

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-16 vs Navy W 75 - 72
2001-11-20 vs Lamar W 91 - 62
2001-11-22 @ Colorado L 80 - 108
2001-11-27 @ Stephen F. Austin L 86 - 90
2001-11-29 @ Houston L 61 - 62
2001-12-01 vs Baylor W 75 - 60
2001-12-04 @ Middle Tennessee L 52 - 65
2001-12-21 vs Centenary (LA) W 66 - 57
2001-12-27 vs Texas–Rio Grande Valley L 64 - 81
2001-12-29 vs Siena W 71 - 60
2002-01-03 @ Fresno State L 61 - 87
2002-01-05 @ Nevada L 70 - 91
2002-01-10 vs Boise State L 59 - 62
2002-01-12 vs UTEP W 73 - 59
2002-01-17 @ Southern Methodist L 49 - 76
2002-01-19 @ Louisiana Tech L 43 - 57
2002-01-24 vs Hawaii L 79 - 88
2002-01-26 vs San Jose State W 70 - 58
2002-01-28 @ Tulsa L 60 - 79
2002-01-31 vs Nevada L 56 - 64
2002-02-02 vs Fresno State W 76 - 63
2002-02-07 @ UTEP W 75 - 68
2002-02-09 @ Boise State L 62 - 78
2002-02-14 vs Louisiana Tech L 61 - 72
2002-02-16 vs Southern Methodist L 61 - 63
2002-02-21 @ San Jose State W 62 - 46
2002-02-23 @ Hawaii L 50 - 79
2002-02-28 vs Tulsa L 62 - 67
2002-03-05 N San Jose State L 57 - 58

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.