🐻⬇️🏀

Rhode Island

Also known as: Rhode Island
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1026 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1156 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1086 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1187 (#30) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.9 (#117) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +11.8 (#194) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#78) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.959 (#188) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +71.5 More → 1.000 (#55) NetEff +71.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +56.0 More → 0.999 (#52) AdjNet +56.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.9 More → 0.966 (#154) AdjNet +28.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +55.2 More → 0.999 (#60) AdjNet +55.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.6 More → 0.968 (#152) AdjNet +28.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.4 | AdjD 52.8 More → 0.981 (#28) AdjO 96.4 | AdjD 52.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 52.0 More → 0.818 (#160) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 52.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 52.7 More → 0.792 (#66) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 52.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.842 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.840 (#105) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 23 More → 1270 (#33) RD 99 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-10 vs Emmanuel (MA) W 105 - 49
2025-11-10 @ Western New Eng. W 52 - 43
2025-11-13 @ Brandeis L 66 - 77
2025-11-15 vs TCNJ W 82 - 70
2025-11-16 vs JWU (Providence) W 75 - 62
2025-11-22 vs MIT W 58 - 57
2025-11-25 vs Bridgewater St. W 78 - 53
2025-11-30 vs Tufts L 50 - 62
2025-12-03 vs UMass Dartmouth W 71 - 70
2025-12-13 vs VTSU Castleton W 73 - 44
2025-12-20 @ Coast Guard W 86 - 70
2026-01-10 vs Keene St. W 63 - 62
2026-01-13 @ Connecticut Col. L 53 - 54
2026-01-17 vs UMass Boston W 74 - 63
2026-01-21 @ Eastern Conn. St. W 70 - 58
2026-01-24 vs Plymouth St. W 76 - 31
2026-01-28 @ UMass Dartmouth W 76 - 50
2026-01-31 @ VTSU Castleton W 74 - 63
2026-02-04 vs Southern Me. W 70 - 62
2026-02-07 @ UMass Boston W 64 - 52

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Palmire Mbu - 1 20.3 24.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 19.0 - - - 83.3 66.7 66.7 - 90.1 91.7
Meagan Schuermann - 17 29.5 16.5 6.9 1.1 1.6 1.2 3.2 12.5 11.5 56 2.8 15.0 42.3 46.6 91.2 -0.8 56.4 48.6
Abby Wager - 18 33.7 15.3 8.3 3.0 1.9 2.1 3.2 12.7 14.8 97 4.8 19.9 42.5 23.5 74.2 3.03 51.7 46.1
Vanessa Harris - 1 18.4 14.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 7.0 - - - 46.2 33.3 0.0 - 50.4 53.8
Aimee Michel - 1 17.8 13.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 60.0 0 - 65.0 65.0
Albina Syla - 1 20.5 12.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Shalyn Smith - 19 27.6 11.3 3.3 1.9 1.1 0.2 2.3 8.2 7.4 126 5.7 31.8 47.7 39.6 92.0 2.53 60.7 54.5
Jaina Yekelchik - 18 34.6 9.5 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.2 2.4 8.3 5.8 74 3.5 16.1 42.3 37.3 74.1 2.52 53.1 50.7
Eva Monahan - 19 25.7 9.2 7.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 2.5 7.1 8.7 55 2.5 14.8 55.2 0.0 68.4 1.46 57.7 55.2
Brooklyn Gray - 1 24.8 9.0 10.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 18.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 43.1 40.0
Sophia Vital - 1 21.4 9.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 57.1 50.0 0 - 64.3 64.3
Valentina Ojeda - 1 17.3 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Ines Debroise - 1 16.9 6.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 14.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0
Maggie McKitchen - 19 25.5 5.2 4.6 1.5 0.5 0.6 2.5 5.6 4.2 106 4.8 28.6 35.5 22.9 57.9 1.97 42.5 40.7
Ta'Viyanna Habib - 1 19.4 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 - - - 14.3 16.7 100.0 - 31.7 21.4
Eva Agba - 1 11.8 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Nichole Ljuljic - 19 13.3 2.4 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.4 2.9 55 2.5 29.3 37.8 31.6 45.5 2.01 45.1 44.4
Emma Tenters - 10 14.3 2.3 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.1 1.6 77 6.4 47.5 29.0 0.0 50.0 2.75 32.5 29.0
Angela Hector - 3 4.7 2.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.7 2.0 - - - 60.0 0 0.0 -0.93 51.0 60.0
Lilyana Fontcha - 1 11.3 2.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Naima Bleou - 11 11.6 1.6 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 3.5 0.2 -17 -1.4 -19.1 18.4 8.7 100.0 -1.6 23.1 21.1
Janae Gomes - 6 5.6 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 1.0 3 0.4 58.1 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.54 51.2 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG