Regis
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 686 (#535) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 660 (#536) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 809 (#669) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.2 (#260) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.7 (#421) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.455 (#376) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.758 (#291) | AdjNet +9.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.775 (#291) | AdjNet +10.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.654 (#287) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.335 (#589) | AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.236 (#575) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.242 (#576) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 631 (#516) | RD 130 | GP 18 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | Newman | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Okla. Christian | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-20 | @ | Pittsburg St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Fort Hays St. | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2015-11-27 | @ | Western Ore. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-28 | @ | Z_Do_Not_Use_Johnson & Wales (CO) | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Chadron St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-11 | vs | South Dakota Mines | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2015-12-12 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-18 | @ | UCCS | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-02 | vs | CSU Pueblo | W | 58 - 56 |
| 2016-01-03 | vs | Western Colo. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-08 | @ | Black Hills St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-15 | @ | Western N.M. | W | 59 - 48 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | N.M. Highlands | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | Colorado Mesa | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 55 - 44 |
| 2016-01-29 | @ | Fort Lewis | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Adams St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-05 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 82 - 61 |
| 2016-02-12 | vs | MSU Denver | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | UCCS | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ | Westminster (UT) | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Colorado Mesa | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-26 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2016-03-01 | vs | UCCS | - | Preview |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.