Regis (CO)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 820 (#413) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 734 (#537) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 733 (#603) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.2 (#296) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -21.9 (#539) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.188 (#495) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#287) | NetEff -90.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.397 (#463) | AdjNet -3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.394 (#463) | AdjNet -3.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.445 (#460) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 77.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.121 (#597) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 88.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.102 (#580) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.100 (#587) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 599 (#509) | RD 116 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | L | 53 - 78 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Lubbock Christian | L | 70 - 105 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | UT Tyler | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Texas-Dallas | W | 97 - 93 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Northern Colo. | L | 63 - 104 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | N.M. Highlands | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Western Colo. | L | 72 - 98 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Neb.-Kearney | L | 73 - 87 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 42 - 102 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 62 - 90 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 60 - 87 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Chadron St. | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | UCCS | L | 74 - 93 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | CSU Pueblo | L | 57 - 82 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | MSU Denver | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 81 - 120 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Adams St. | L | 87 - 114 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | N.M. Highlands | L | 51 - 98 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Westminster (UT) | L | 70 - 92 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 69 - 95 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Soden | - | 15 | 34.3 | 17.3 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 13.1 | 10.3 | -287 | -19.1 | -55.1 | 44.4 | 42.0 | 66.7 | -3.81 | 58.6 | 56.4 |
| Cooper Frith | - | 17 | 32.4 | 13.9 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 10.2 | 6.4 | -190 | -11.9 | -60.2 | 40.2 | 33.3 | 84.5 | -3.33 | 55.9 | 47.4 |
| Aaron Ofstun | - | 2 | 20.4 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 | -19 | -9.5 | -28.3 | 52.9 | 100.0 | 33.3 | 0.16 | 54.6 | 55.9 |
| Gunner Walters | - | 20 | 36.7 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 4.2 | 7.8 | 7.5 | -415 | -21.8 | -75.9 | 44.6 | 30.4 | 75.0 | -3.73 | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Myles Shields | - | 6 | 17.2 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 3.3 | -22 | -4.4 | -163.5 | 53.3 | 36.4 | 40.0 | -0.95 | 57.2 | 57.8 |
| Dyland Forbord | - | 20 | 29.7 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 7.2 | -213 | -11.8 | -47.6 | 53.3 | 6.2 | 72.9 | -0.82 | 58.1 | 53.8 |
| Matt Yost | - | 19 | 30.2 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 7.4 | 7.0 | -307 | -17.1 | -104.0 | 37.9 | 34.3 | 78.6 | -2.43 | 49.9 | 46.4 |
| Logan Peoples | - | 20 | 21.6 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 2.1 | -54 | -7.7 | -73.1 | 35.8 | 29.6 | 84.6 | -1.61 | 48.7 | 44.3 |
| Quinn Lambert | - | 3 | 30.0 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 6.3 | -54 | -18.0 | -50.9 | 37.5 | 0 | 45.5 | -2.16 | 40.8 | 37.5 |
| Rifky Sedhom | - | 13 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -82 | -6.3 | -63.5 | 57.1 | 0 | 77.8 | -0.51 | 64.0 | 57.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG