Redlands Bulldogs
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1234 (#34) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1292 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1174 (#32) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.3 (#9) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.4 (#226) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.863 (#15) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#21) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.817 (#21) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.728 (#12) | AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.751 (#63) | AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.774 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.779 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1266 (#22) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Pacific (OR) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Schreiner | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Willamette | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Cal Poly | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Chapman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Caltech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Cal Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | La Verne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Whittier | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Claremont-M-S | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Occidental | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Chapman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cal Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | La Verne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Caltech | W | 148 - 72 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Occidental | L | 82 - 86 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Claremont-M-S | W | 91 - 69 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Whittier | W | 86 - 82 |
| 2026-02-27 | vs | Occidental | W | 100 - 76 |
| 2026-03-01 | vs | Chapman | W | 93 - 64 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.