Redlands Bulldogs
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1164 (#50) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1237 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1174 (#32) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.8 (#8) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.4 (#226) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.863 (#262) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#226) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.817 (#226) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.728 (#212) | AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.751 (#63) | AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.774 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.779 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1296 (#19) | RD 104 | GP 21 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Schreiner | W | 116 - 100 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | George Fox | W | 105 - 97 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Pacific (OR) | L | 83 - 89 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Linfield | W | 90 - 73 |
| 2024-11-29 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Caltech | W | 118 - 37 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 91 - 85 |
| 2024-12-27 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | W | 97 - 89 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Mount Union | W | 91 - 69 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | La Verne | W | 88 - 84 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 97 - 99 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Whittier | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 94 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Chapman | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Occidental | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Caltech | W | 104 - 52 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Claremont-M-S | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | La Verne | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Occidental | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Chapman | W | 97 - 73 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Whittier | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Claremont-M-S | L | 87 - 89 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 89 - 79 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Tufts | W | 95 - 93 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Hampden-Sydney | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2025-03-15 | @ | NYU | L | 65 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omari Ferguson | - | 30 | 21.3 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 116 | 3.6 | 17.5 | 52.5 | 44.4 | 72.9 | 1.42 | 60.2 | 55.4 |
| Chozen Amadi | - | 25 | 25.3 | 12.4 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 11.8 | 5.2 | 201 | 6.1 | 27.0 | 36.5 | 30.5 | 72.4 | 1.44 | 48.4 | 45.4 |
| Lucas Gordon | - | 29 | 22.8 | 12.0 | 9.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 14.8 | 204 | 6.8 | 29.2 | 58.5 | 24.4 | 70.9 | 2.19 | 63.5 | 60.8 |
| Kendrick Currey | - | 23 | 25.8 | 11.1 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 181 | 9.1 | 23.7 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 74.4 | 0.77 | 48.6 | 43.2 |
| Jake Hlywiak | - | 30 | 25.1 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 214 | 7.1 | 27.2 | 44.1 | 38.7 | 88.9 | 0.46 | 59.7 | 58.3 |
| Jhace Boston | - | 30 | 17.9 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 8.6 | 150 | 7.1 | 19.6 | 46.8 | 23.1 | 70.6 | 1.39 | 54.2 | 48.5 |
| Dayvon Gates | - | 30 | 18.8 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 38 | 1.9 | 7.0 | 44.1 | 25.0 | 68.1 | 0.77 | 52.9 | 45.3 |
| Donovan Ware | - | 28 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 85 | 3.5 | 20.2 | 39.9 | 37.1 | 80.0 | 1.33 | 55.9 | 54.9 |
| Nathan Mattera | - | 30 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 41 | 3.2 | 26.5 | 40.2 | 33.8 | 0 | 0.27 | 52.8 | 52.8 |
| Thomas Hastings | - | 14 | 13.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 80 | 20.0 | 63.1 | 32.7 | 25.0 | 55.6 | 0.04 | 41.1 | 35.7 |
| Nathaniel Johnson | - | 20 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.5 | -25 | -3.1 | -34.4 | 52.6 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.26 | 57.7 | 52.6 |
| Logan Dorsey | - | 20 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -26 | -2.9 | -118.0 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.69 | 47.2 | 45.5 |
| Evan Lucas | - | 23 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | -26 | -3.2 | -167.3 | 34.5 | 26.1 | 0 | -0.82 | 44.8 | 44.8 |
| Christopher Carter | - | 12 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -6 | -3.0 | -276.9 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.49 | 67.8 | 75.0 |
| BJ Taylor | - | 14 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -9 | -1.8 | -8.7 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 71.4 | -0.11 | 39.7 | 21.4 |
| Yah Humphrey | - | 19 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -30 | -5.0 | -276.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.96 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Cam Brown | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.8 | -27.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG