Redlands Bulldogs
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1164 (#50) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1237 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1174 (#32) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.8 (#8) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.4 (#226) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.863 (#262) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#226) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.817 (#226) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.728 (#212) | AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.751 (#63) | AdjO 87.7 | AdjD 75.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.774 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.779 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1296 (#19) | RD 104 | GP 21 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-06 | @ | Whitworth | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2021-11-07 | @ | Pacific (OR) | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Puget Sound | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2021-11-19 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Puget Sound | L | 67 - 83 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | George Fox | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2021-12-01 | vs | Whittier | W | 91 - 73 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | UC Santa Cruz | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2021-12-17 | @ | Cal St. Fullerton | L | 78 - 93 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | Caltech | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2022-01-17 | vs | Chapman | L | 63 - 96 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | La Verne | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 72 - 103 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Occidental | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2022-02-02 | @ | Whittier | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-05 | @ | Chapman | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | @ | Occidental | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | La Verne | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Cal Lutheran | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | Caltech | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2022-02-21 | vs | Claremont-M-S | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2022-02-23 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 69 - 73 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.