🐻⬇️🏀

Randolph

Also known as: Randolph
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 781 (#623) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 798 (#591) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 789 (#761) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.7 (#292) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -22.8 (#706) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.251 (#630) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.0 More → 0.202 (#539) AdjNet -12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.1 More → 0.196 (#538) AdjNet -12.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 82.4 More → 0.308 (#535) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 82.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 83.5 More → 0.166 (#762) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 83.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.107 (#746) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.111 (#749) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 22 More → 726 (#608) RD 110 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Old Dominion L 53 - 93
2025-11-15 vs N.C. Wesleyan L 73 - 77
2025-11-16 vs Regent L 74 - 84
2025-11-19 vs Methodist W 77 - 71
2025-11-22 @ JWU Charlotte W 80 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Mary Baldwin L 75 - 78
2025-11-29 @ Regent W 89 - 63
2025-12-03 vs Lynchburg L 53 - 81
2025-12-06 @ Va. Wesleyan L 62 - 71
2025-12-10 vs Southern Va. L 87 - 95
2025-12-16 vs Greensboro L 55 - 64
2026-01-02 @ William Peace W 82 - 72
2026-01-07 @ Bridgewater (VA) L 76 - 87
2026-01-10 vs East. Mennonite L 60 - 75
2026-01-14 @ Averett L 55 - 74
2026-01-17 @ Wash. & Lee L 65 - 77
2026-01-21 vs Hampden-Sydney L 61 - 97
2026-01-23 vs Randolph-Macon L 36 - 94
2026-01-28 vs Roanoke L 74 - 86
2026-01-31 @ Shenandoah L 68 - 87
2026-02-04 @ Guilford L 68 - 127
2026-02-07 vs Va. Wesleyan L 52 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aveion Tucker - 16 31.3 12.0 3.1 3.9 0.6 0.0 2.8 11.4 5.4 -138 -9.9 -37.0 39.3 30.0 60.0 -3.04 46.8 44.3
Steven Burgess Jr. - 12 25.6 11.0 2.8 2.5 1.5 0.1 2.2 9.0 6.6 146 9.7 40.9 38.9 33.8 73.5 1.6 53.7 49.5
Trey Miller - 14 25.9 10.3 7.9 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.4 9.9 8.4 7 0.4 1.4 41.7 36.8 61.8 1.82 46.8 44.2
Viktor Parson - 20 22.2 8.8 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.1 8.4 3.1 -104 -5.5 -71.9 37.9 29.8 66.7 -1.85 47.7 45.3
Elijah Cox - 20 29.9 8.3 4.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.4 7.5 5.8 -152 -7.2 -52.7 39.3 23.8 60.7 -2.84 47.8 44.3
Marcus Brown - 10 14.6 7.8 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.8 6.2 3.6 12 1.2 17.5 51.6 11.1 76.5 -1.95 56.1 52.4
Khalil Caple - 17 18.4 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.1 6.8 4.1 -24 -1.5 -9.9 34.8 24.2 75.0 1.2 46.5 38.3
TJ James Jr. - 22 17.5 5.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.9 4.6 2.8 -77 -5.9 -29.2 35.6 26.1 78.3 -0.82 49.5 41.6
Chase Depriest - 22 16.4 4.5 3.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.0 4.0 3.3 -136 -6.8 -53.1 40.9 35.6 83.3 -3.14 54.1 52.8
Stacy Byrd - 21 16.4 4.1 3.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.9 2.9 4.5 -96 -5.1 -66.4 53.3 35.3 66.7 -1.83 60.9 58.3
Chris Hayes - 21 9.0 2.4 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.0 1.9 -42 -2.3 -23.0 51.2 50.0 44.4 0.41 55.6 56.1
Camden Taylor - 11 5.2 2.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.1 -24 -2.7 -36.0 55.0 40.0 33.3 0.1 57.4 60.0
Ayden Barone - 15 10.7 2.1 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.2 -38 -2.7 -31.8 50.0 53.3 33.3 -3.21 66.5 68.2
Devin Gaines - 14 5.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 -0.1 -62 -5.6 -95.6 22.2 20.0 56.2 -2.08 32.3 24.1
Brian Donohue - 12 5.8 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 7 0.7 26.7 27.3 0 77.8 -0.34 43.4 27.3
Brent Thompson - 5 4.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.4 - - - 12.5 25.0 50.0 - 22.5 18.8
Ragan Gilreath - 8 3.6 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 -0.1 -5 -0.8 -65.9 22.2 33.3 0 -0.44 27.8 27.8
Daisaun Perkins - 5 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 -0.2 -15 -3.8 -168.2 50.0 0.0 0 -1.2 50.0 50.0
Marcus Scott - 5 4.9 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.4 - - - 0.0 0.0 66.7 - 30.1 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG