Randolph
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 781 (#623) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 798 (#591) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 789 (#761) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.7 (#292) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.8 (#706) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.251 (#630) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.202 (#539) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.196 (#538) | AdjNet -12.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.308 (#535) | AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 82.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.166 (#762) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 83.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.107 (#746) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.111 (#749) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 726 (#608) | RD 110 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Old Dominion | L | 53 - 93 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | N.C. Wesleyan | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Regent | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Methodist | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | JWU Charlotte | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Mary Baldwin | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Regent | W | 89 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Lynchburg | L | 53 - 81 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | L | 62 - 71 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Southern Va. | L | 87 - 95 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Greensboro | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | William Peace | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 76 - 87 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | East. Mennonite | L | 60 - 75 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Averett | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wash. & Lee | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Hampden-Sydney | L | 61 - 97 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 36 - 94 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Roanoke | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 68 - 87 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Guilford | L | 68 - 127 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | L | 52 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveion Tucker | - | 16 | 31.3 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 11.4 | 5.4 | -138 | -9.9 | -37.0 | 39.3 | 30.0 | 60.0 | -3.04 | 46.8 | 44.3 |
| Steven Burgess Jr. | - | 12 | 25.6 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 146 | 9.7 | 40.9 | 38.9 | 33.8 | 73.5 | 1.6 | 53.7 | 49.5 |
| Trey Miller | - | 14 | 25.9 | 10.3 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 9.9 | 8.4 | 7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 41.7 | 36.8 | 61.8 | 1.82 | 46.8 | 44.2 |
| Viktor Parson | - | 20 | 22.2 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 8.4 | 3.1 | -104 | -5.5 | -71.9 | 37.9 | 29.8 | 66.7 | -1.85 | 47.7 | 45.3 |
| Elijah Cox | - | 20 | 29.9 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 7.5 | 5.8 | -152 | -7.2 | -52.7 | 39.3 | 23.8 | 60.7 | -2.84 | 47.8 | 44.3 |
| Marcus Brown | - | 10 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 12 | 1.2 | 17.5 | 51.6 | 11.1 | 76.5 | -1.95 | 56.1 | 52.4 |
| Khalil Caple | - | 17 | 18.4 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.8 | 4.1 | -24 | -1.5 | -9.9 | 34.8 | 24.2 | 75.0 | 1.2 | 46.5 | 38.3 |
| TJ James Jr. | - | 22 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.6 | 2.8 | -77 | -5.9 | -29.2 | 35.6 | 26.1 | 78.3 | -0.82 | 49.5 | 41.6 |
| Chase Depriest | - | 22 | 16.4 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | -136 | -6.8 | -53.1 | 40.9 | 35.6 | 83.3 | -3.14 | 54.1 | 52.8 |
| Stacy Byrd | - | 21 | 16.4 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 4.5 | -96 | -5.1 | -66.4 | 53.3 | 35.3 | 66.7 | -1.83 | 60.9 | 58.3 |
| Chris Hayes | - | 21 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 | -42 | -2.3 | -23.0 | 51.2 | 50.0 | 44.4 | 0.41 | 55.6 | 56.1 |
| Camden Taylor | - | 11 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | -24 | -2.7 | -36.0 | 55.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0.1 | 57.4 | 60.0 |
| Ayden Barone | - | 15 | 10.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | -38 | -2.7 | -31.8 | 50.0 | 53.3 | 33.3 | -3.21 | 66.5 | 68.2 |
| Devin Gaines | - | 14 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.9 | -0.1 | -62 | -5.6 | -95.6 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 56.2 | -2.08 | 32.3 | 24.1 |
| Brian Donohue | - | 12 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 0.7 | 26.7 | 27.3 | 0 | 77.8 | -0.34 | 43.4 | 27.3 |
| Brent Thompson | - | 5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 22.5 | 18.8 |
| Ragan Gilreath | - | 8 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | -5 | -0.8 | -65.9 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.44 | 27.8 | 27.8 |
| Daisaun Perkins | - | 5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -15 | -3.8 | -168.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Marcus Scott | - | 5 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 30.1 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG