🐻⬇️🏀

Radford

Also known as: Radford
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1041 (#147) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1113 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1019 (#249) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +34.7 (#24) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#64) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +52.1 More → 1.000 (#38) NetEff +52.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +48.3 More → 0.997 (#42) AdjNet +48.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +47.3 More → 0.997 (#46) AdjNet +47.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 45.7 More → 0.949 (#39) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 45.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 57.2 More → 0.836 (#17) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 57.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.931 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.914 (#21) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1089 (#132) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Emory & Henry W 69 - 36
2025-12-15 vs Concord W 100 - 48

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joi Williams - 2 19.4 12.5 0.0 3.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 9.5 10.5 140 7.0 19.7 47.4 42.9 66.7 0.65 57.8 55.3
Anaiah Jenkins - 2 22.7 12.5 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 13.5 - - - 45.5 100.0 60.0 - 51.7 50.0
Angelina Nice - 2 18.0 11.5 5.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 2.5 11.0 5.5 - - - 36.4 16.7 66.7 - 44.3 38.6
Ellie Taylor - 2 18.8 10.0 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 5.0 11.5 - - - 80.0 33.3 75.0 - 85.0 85.0
Adelyn Traylor-Walker - 2 14.6 8.0 2.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.5 10.0 - - - 71.4 50.0 55.6 - 73.0 78.6
Kirah Dandridge - 2 23.4 7.0 8.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 7.5 11.0 101 5.9 24.7 33.3 20.0 50.0 0.78 39.7 36.7
Georgia Simonsen - 2 18.1 7.0 7.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.5 7.5 8.5 - - - 46.7 0 0.0 - 45.3 46.7
Ava Sawi - 2 11.3 5.0 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 7.5 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Cate Carlson - 2 19.2 4.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 5.0 1.5 -77 -3.5 -18.0 40.0 0.0 50.0 -1.59 41.4 40.0
Cherish Haywood - 2 20.4 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 60.0 - 34.3 25.0
Anna Chacha - 2 3.7 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 51.5 66.7
Lindsee Williams - 2 3.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Anna Stromberg - 2 5.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Amanda Mitchell - 1 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -0.7 -12.9 0 0 0 -0.72 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG