Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1034 (#221) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1122 (#105) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1032 (#237) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.1 (#106) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#111) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.980 (#81) | AdjNet +33.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.982 (#81) | AdjNet +33.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.905 (#91) | AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.799 (#27) | AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.853 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.835 (#55) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1177 (#82) | RD 264 | GP 2 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-12 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 84 - 47 |
| 2023-11-26 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 100 - 53 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Giles | - | 2 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 57.1 | 100.0 | - | 79.4 | 77.8 |
| Truth Harris | - | 2 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 14.5 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0.0 | 77.8 | - | 74.0 | 63.6 |
| TJ NeSmith | - | 2 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 83.3 | - | 98.8 | 100.0 |
| Kyle Burns | - | 2 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 52.6 | 52.6 |
| Trenton Walters | - | 2 | 20.5 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 75.0 | 100.0 | - | 88.3 | 83.3 |
| Chandler Turner | - | 2 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 8.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.8 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.3 | 94.4 | 94.4 |
| Bryan Antoine | - | 2 | 19.0 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 75.9 | 77.8 |
| Justin Archer | - | 2 | 18.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| D'Auntray Pierce | - | 2 | 20.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| DaQuan Smith | - | 2 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 49 | 5.4 | 15.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.2 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Hunter Castleberry | - | 2 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josiah Harris | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49 | 12.2 | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.83 | 0 | 0 |
| Dean Lockley | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| David Vidor | - | 2 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Trevor Roe | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG