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Radford

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2021 2020 2014 2013
Also known as: Radford
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1034 (#221) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1122 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1032 (#237) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +22.1 (#106) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.998 (#111) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.6 More → 0.980 (#81) AdjNet +33.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.2 More → 0.982 (#81) AdjNet +33.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.905 (#91) AdjO 89.1 | AdjD 64.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.799 (#27) AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.852 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.835 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1101 (#177) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-29 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 102 - 75
2025-12-28 vs Shenandoah W 87 - 44

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dennis Parker, Jr. - 2 17.5 15.0 5.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 9.0 11.5 78 4.6 27.3 61.1 60.0 62.5 2.91 69.7 69.4
Frederik Erichsen - 2 16.9 14.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.5 13.5 - - - 76.9 83.3 80.0 - 95.4 96.2
Mari Jordan - 2 19.2 13.0 5.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 11.0 10.0 - - - 45.5 40.0 100.0 - 56.8 54.5
Del Jones - 2 25.1 11.5 2.0 4.5 2.5 0.0 3.5 6.5 10.5 11 2.8 6.3 69.2 100.0 100.0 -0.21 82.9 80.8
Gabriel Ferreira - 2 17.3 8.5 6.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 5.0 11.5 - - - 70.0 0.0 60.0 - 69.7 70.0
Louie Jordan - 2 14.1 8.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 7.0 5.5 - - - 42.9 38.5 0 - 60.7 60.7
Lukas Walls - 2 20.1 8.0 2.5 2.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 10.5 - - - 45.5 37.5 100.0 - 64.9 59.1
Brennan Rigsby - 2 14.5 5.0 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 7.0 - - - 44.4 20.0 100.0 - 53.0 50.0
Jaylon Johnson - 2 24.0 4.5 3.0 5.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 3 0.2 1.9 21.4 25.0 0 2.69 32.1 32.1
Tyson Brown - 2 16.5 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 38.7 50.0
Warren Keel - 2 9.6 2.0 0.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Bradley Land - 2 5.3 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 0.0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG