Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#235) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1006 (#243) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +30.8 (#21) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.996 (#31) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.948 (#80) | AdjNet +25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.950 (#80) | AdjNet +24.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.854 (#77) | AdjO 87.6 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.665 (#88) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.892 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.848 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1127 (#94) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 99 - 61 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Johnson | - | 1 | 22.9 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 32 | 2.5 | 50.0 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.6 | 81.0 | 77.8 |
| Dennis Parker, Jr. | - | 1 | 20.9 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 26 | 2.0 | 28.4 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1.74 | 51.9 | 53.6 |
| Frederik Erichsen | - | 1 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 66.6 | 56.2 |
| Tyson Brown | - | 1 | 20.8 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 83.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.91 | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Mari Jordan | - | 1 | 18.4 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 91.7 | 91.7 |
| Del Jones | - | 1 | 22.2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 65 | 3.2 | 44.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.08 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Lukas Walls | - | 1 | 18.8 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Warren Keel | - | 1 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Gabriel Ferreira | - | 1 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Louie Jordan | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Brennan Rigsby | - | 1 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bradley Land | - | 1 | 10.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG