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Radford

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Also known as: Radford Highlanders
Program History
Coach: Byron Samuels

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 902 (#245) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 849 (#277) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More → 953 (#238) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → -10.5 (#290) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → -10.0 (#291) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.323 (#251) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.7 More → 0.128 (#294) AdjNet -16.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.9 More → 0.125 (#294) AdjNet -16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.295 (#290) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 72.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.375 (#279) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.268 (#283) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.282 (#283) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 162 | GP 26 More → 871 (#260) RD 162 | GP 26

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 vs Yale Bulldogs W 72 - 71
2004-11-20 @ William & Mary Tribe L 76 - 81
2004-11-23 @ Longwood Lancers W 91 - 81
2004-11-29 vs Ferrum Panthers W 89 - 60
2004-12-02 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 66 - 61
2004-12-04 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 44 - 78
2004-12-08 vs Hampton Pirates L 74 - 89
2004-12-10 vs Lees McRae Bobcats W 97 - 77
2004-12-23 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 58 - 74
2004-12-28 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 60 - 72
2004-12-29 vs UC Davis Aggies L 63 - 67
2005-01-05 @ Birmingham-Southern Panthers L 59 - 61
2005-01-08 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 93 - 82
2005-01-10 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 60 - 67
2005-01-15 @ Winthrop Eagles L 54 - 74
2005-01-19 @ VMI Keydets W 78 - 62
2005-01-22 vs High Point Panthers W 85 - 83
2005-01-25 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 72 - 75
2005-01-29 vs Liberty Flames W 69 - 64
2005-01-31 vs Birmingham-Southern Panthers L 62 - 64
2005-02-05 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 66 - 56
2005-02-07 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 61 - 79
2005-02-14 vs VMI Keydets L 54 - 67
2005-02-16 vs Winthrop Eagles L 55 - 65
2005-02-19 @ Liberty Flames L 62 - 70
2005-02-23 @ High Point Panthers W 92 - 87
2005-02-26 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 91 - 75
2005-03-01 @ Birmingham-Southern Panthers L 40 - 69

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.