Radford
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 879 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 915 (#226) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1011 (#142) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.0 (#206) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -4.9 (#223) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.598 (#109) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.407 (#191) | AdjNet -3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.404 (#191) | AdjNet -3.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.454 (#192) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 69.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.499 (#158) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.425 (#200) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.434 (#200) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 890 (#236) | RD 152 | GP 30 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-16 | N | Butler | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2001-11-17 | N | Wichita State | L | 81 - 82 |
| 2001-11-21 | @ | Purdue | L | 84 - 91 |
| 2001-11-26 | vs | UNC Wilmington | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2001-11-28 | vs | Richmond | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2001-12-04 | vs | American | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2001-12-06 | vs | Marshall | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2001-12-08 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 54 - 79 |
| 2001-12-15 | @ | Virginia Tech | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2001-12-17 | @ | Tennessee | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2001-12-22 | @ | East Carolina | L | 86 - 90 |
| 2001-12-28 | N | Holy Cross | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2001-12-29 | @ | College of Charleston | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2002-01-02 | @ | Elon | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2002-01-06 | vs | UNC Asheville | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2002-01-09 | vs | Winthrop | W | 69 - 48 |
| 2002-01-12 | @ | Coastal Carolina | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2002-01-14 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | High Point | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2002-01-26 | vs | Liberty | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2002-01-30 | @ | UNC Asheville | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2002-02-02 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2002-02-04 | vs | Coastal Carolina | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | Winthrop | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2002-02-14 | @ | High Point | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2002-02-16 | vs | Elon | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2002-02-23 | @ | Liberty | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2002-02-28 | N | Coastal Carolina | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2002-03-01 | N | High Point | L | 70 - 72 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.