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Radford

Also known as: Radford Highlanders
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 879 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 915 (#226) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1011 (#142) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -3.0 (#206) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -4.9 (#223) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.598 (#109) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.407 (#191) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.4 More โ†’ 0.404 (#191) AdjNet -3.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 69.5 More โ†’ 0.454 (#192) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 69.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.1 More โ†’ 0.499 (#158) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.425 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.434 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 30 More โ†’ 890 (#236) RD 152 | GP 30

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-16 N Butler L 56 - 73
2001-11-17 N Wichita State L 81 - 82
2001-11-21 @ Purdue L 84 - 91
2001-11-26 vs UNC Wilmington W 85 - 72
2001-11-28 vs Richmond L 52 - 62
2001-12-01 vs Middle Tennessee W 72 - 53
2001-12-04 vs American W 76 - 65
2001-12-06 vs Marshall L 63 - 67
2001-12-08 @ East Tennessee State L 54 - 79
2001-12-15 @ Virginia Tech L 56 - 63
2001-12-17 @ Tennessee L 66 - 72
2001-12-22 @ East Carolina L 86 - 90
2001-12-28 N Holy Cross W 66 - 49
2001-12-29 @ College of Charleston L 61 - 68
2002-01-02 @ Elon L 58 - 61
2002-01-06 vs UNC Asheville L 60 - 74
2002-01-09 vs Winthrop W 69 - 48
2002-01-12 @ Coastal Carolina W 82 - 71
2002-01-14 @ Charleston Southern L 63 - 74
2002-01-19 vs High Point W 78 - 77
2002-01-26 vs Liberty W 79 - 60
2002-01-30 @ UNC Asheville L 71 - 80
2002-02-02 vs Charleston Southern W 70 - 52
2002-02-04 vs Coastal Carolina W 76 - 60
2002-02-09 @ Winthrop W 72 - 64
2002-02-14 @ High Point W 78 - 60
2002-02-16 vs Elon W 81 - 60
2002-02-23 @ Liberty L 69 - 78
2002-02-28 N Coastal Carolina W 81 - 66
2002-03-01 N High Point L 70 - 72

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.