Radford
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 906 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 924 (#205) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 989 (#161) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.6 (#219) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.4 (#216) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.508 (#146) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.293 (#219) | AdjNet -7.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.290 (#218) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.396 (#213) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.464 (#178) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.387 (#207) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.400 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 922 (#199) | RD 157 | GP 25 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-25 | vs | Tennessee–Martin | W | 92 - 77 |
| 1995-12-02 | @ | VMI | L | 103 - 110 |
| 1995-12-05 | @ | Richmond | L | 67 - 73 |
| 1995-12-07 | vs | East Tennessee State | W | 88 - 77 |
| 1995-12-09 | vs | Middle Tennessee | W | 92 - 77 |
| 1995-12-20 | @ | Florida State | L | 59 - 79 |
| 1995-12-23 | @ | Marshall | L | 73 - 101 |
| 1995-12-28 | @ | East Tennessee State | L | 64 - 68 |
| 1995-12-30 | @ | South Carolina | L | 69 - 90 |
| 1996-01-03 | vs | Duquesne | W | 65 - 64 |
| 1996-01-13 | vs | Winthrop | L | 66 - 70 |
| 1996-01-15 | vs | Liberty | W | 71 - 65 |
| 1996-01-18 | vs | UMBC | W | 66 - 48 |
| 1996-01-20 | @ | Coastal Carolina | W | 64 - 55 |
| 1996-01-22 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 75 - 80 |
| 1996-01-24 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 68 - 73 |
| 1996-01-27 | vs | UNC Asheville | L | 56 - 74 |
| 1996-01-29 | @ | UMBC | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1996-02-03 | @ | Liberty | L | 50 - 53 |
| 1996-02-07 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 81 - 67 |
| 1996-02-10 | @ | Winthrop | W | 92 - 82 |
| 1996-02-16 | vs | Coastal Carolina | W | 87 - 68 |
| 1996-02-19 | vs | Charleston Southern | L | 85 - 87 |
| 1996-02-24 | @ | UNC Asheville | W | 77 - 74 |
| 1996-02-29 | N | Charleston Southern | L | 52 - 55 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.