Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 802 (#347) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 854 (#307) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 813 (#748) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -10.6 (#261) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -13.0 (#580) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.333 (#272) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.207 (#245) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.200 (#245) | AdjNet -11.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.303 (#254) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 80.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.328 (#647) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.201 (#660) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.212 (#663) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 732 (#596) | RD 103 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | @ | Binghamton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Nazareth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Buffalo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Skidmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | JWU Charlotte | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Chris. Newport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Rochester (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Ithaca | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Hobart | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Vassar | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | St. Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Clarkson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Hobart | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ithaca | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Rensselaer | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Vassar | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2026-02-20 | vs | Bard | W | 84 - 58 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Skidmore | W | 57 - 55 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.
RIT Tigers