Purdue Boilermakers
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1252 (#40) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1222 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1043 (#94) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.4 (#32) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.6 (#41) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.618 (#105) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.891 (#34) | AdjNet +18.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.893 (#34) | AdjNet +18.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.734 (#34) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.624 (#58) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 63.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#41) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.743 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1208 (#36) | RD 95 | GP 34 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-13 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 101 - 64 |
| 1998-11-16 | vs | Illinois–Chicago | W | 77 - 61 |
| 1998-11-18 | vs | Gonzaga | W | 83 - 68 |
| 1998-11-22 | vs | Lafayette | W | 72 - 67 |
| 1998-11-25 | N | North Carolina | L | 47 - 54 |
| 1998-11-27 | @ | St. John's (NY) | W | 70 - 69 |
| 1998-11-29 | vs | Eastern Illinois | W | 62 - 49 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ | Xavier | W | 71 - 57 |
| 1998-12-08 | vs | Illinois State | W | 69 - 55 |
| 1998-12-11 | vs | Valparaiso | W | 78 - 70 |
| 1998-12-12 | vs | La Salle | W | 80 - 59 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ | Butler | W | 63 - 54 |
| 1998-12-22 | N | South Carolina | W | 80 - 64 |
| 1998-12-27 | @ | Providence | L | 82 - 87 |
| 1999-01-06 | @ | Penn State | W | 70 - 67 |
| 1999-01-10 | @ | Wisconsin | L | 56 - 61 |
| 1999-01-13 | vs | Illinois | W | 63 - 54 |
| 1999-01-16 | vs | Indiana | L | 76 - 87 |
| 1999-01-19 | @ | Ohio State | L | 43 - 72 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Michigan | W | 81 - 71 |
| 1999-01-27 | @ | Northwestern | L | 50 - 54 |
| 1999-02-04 | vs | Iowa | W | 90 - 75 |
| 1999-02-06 | vs | Ohio State | L | 69 - 80 |
| 1999-02-09 | @ | Indiana | W | 86 - 81 |
| 1999-02-13 | @ | Illinois | W | 63 - 56 |
| 1999-02-16 | @ | Michigan State | L | 69 - 82 |
| 1999-02-20 | vs | Penn State | L | 70 - 78 |
| 1999-02-23 | vs | Minnesota | W | 54 - 42 |
| 1999-02-25 | @ | Minnesota | L | 48 - 62 |
| 1999-02-27 | vs | Michigan State | L | 46 - 60 |
| 1999-03-04 | N | Michigan | L | 73 - 79 |
| 1999-03-12 | N | Texas | W | 58 - 54 |
| 1999-03-14 | N | Miami (FL) | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1999-03-19 | N | Temple | L | 55 - 77 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.