Purdue Boilermakers
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1194 (#59) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1145 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1036 (#108) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +10.9 (#44) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +13.4 (#27) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.564 (#127) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.862 (#41) | AdjNet +15.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.865 (#42) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.707 (#48) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.664 (#36) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.743 (#45) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.735 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1177 (#53) | RD 96 | GP 33 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-20 | vs | Ball State | W | 56 - 48 |
| 1991-11-21 | @ | Oklahoma State | L | 48 - 76 |
| 1991-12-02 | @ | Indiana State | W | 81 - 65 |
| 1991-12-06 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 103 - 57 |
| 1991-12-07 | vs | Green Bay | L | 53 - 69 |
| 1991-12-15 | vs | Georgia | W | 65 - 62 |
| 1991-12-17 | vs | Stetson | W | 101 - 75 |
| 1991-12-21 | @ | Butler | W | 76 - 70 |
| 1991-12-23 | vs | Missouri State | W | 53 - 44 |
| 1991-12-28 | @ | Loyola (IL) | L | 79 - 87 |
| 1992-01-02 | @ | North Carolina | L | 50 - 78 |
| 1992-01-04 | vs | Western Michigan | W | 64 - 48 |
| 1992-01-08 | @ | Illinois | L | 72 - 74 |
| 1992-01-11 | vs | Iowa | W | 77 - 69 |
| 1992-01-15 | @ | Michigan | W | 65 - 60 |
| 1992-01-22 | vs | Michigan State | L | 61 - 66 |
| 1992-01-25 | vs | Northwestern | W | 82 - 63 |
| 1992-01-28 | @ | Indiana | L | 65 - 106 |
| 1992-02-02 | @ | Wisconsin | L | 69 - 79 |
| 1992-02-05 | vs | Minnesota | W | 65 - 57 |
| 1992-02-08 | @ | Ohio State | L | 59 - 71 |
| 1992-02-11 | vs | Illinois | L | 71 - 76 |
| 1992-02-15 | @ | Iowa | L | 60 - 80 |
| 1992-02-20 | @ | Northwestern | W | 84 - 68 |
| 1992-02-22 | @ | Michigan State | L | 68 - 70 |
| 1992-02-26 | vs | Ohio State | L | 64 - 71 |
| 1992-02-29 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 61 - 51 |
| 1992-03-07 | @ | Minnesota | W | 68 - 58 |
| 1992-03-11 | vs | Michigan | L | 61 - 70 |
| 1992-03-15 | vs | Indiana | W | 61 - 59 |
| 1992-03-19 | vs | Butler | W | 82 - 56 |
| 1992-03-23 | vs | Texas Christian | W | 67 - 51 |
| 1992-03-25 | vs | Florida | L | 67 - 74 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.