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Purdue

Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers
Program History

2017 Team Stats (29 games)

67.9
PPG
60.4
Opp
+7.4
Margin
43.1%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
71.3%
FT%
38.2
RPG
16.3
APG
14.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.3
Adj PPG
52.5
Adj Opp PPG
#34
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1472 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1217 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 1141 (#31) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +16.9 (#36) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +20.8 (#20) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.797 (#56) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.3 More โ†’ 0.954 (#33) AdjNet +26.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.8 More โ†’ 0.957 (#33) AdjNet +26.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 52.5 More โ†’ 0.807 (#34) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 52.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 55.0 More โ†’ 0.780 (#19) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 55.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.879 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.875 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1250 (#35) RD 106 | GP 36

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Maine Black Bears L 47 - 67
2016-11-12 vs Villanova Wildcats L 44 - 58
2016-11-17 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 71 - 41
2016-11-20 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 61 - 64
2016-11-24 vs Wichita State Shockers W 86 - 49
2016-11-25 @ Northeastern Huskies W 79 - 54
2016-11-26 vs Stanford Cardinal L 69 - 78
2016-11-30 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 67 - 61
2016-12-04 vs Colgate Raiders W 71 - 51
2016-12-06 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 62 - 51
2016-12-08 @ Ball State Cardinals W 58 - 42
2016-12-11 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 61 - 27
2016-12-17 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 77 - 50
2016-12-21 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 62 - 67
2016-12-31 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 60 - 76
2017-01-04 vs Michigan State Spartans W 66 - 54
2017-01-07 vs Penn State Lady Lions W 64 - 51
2017-01-11 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 79 - 57
2017-01-15 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 56 - 61
2017-01-19 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 60 - 74
2017-01-22 @ Michigan State Spartans W 76 - 66
2017-01-26 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 88 - 45
2017-02-02 vs Maryland Terrapins L 70 - 85
2017-02-05 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 72 - 64
2017-02-08 vs Michigan Wolverines L 62 - 72
2017-02-11 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 73 - 79
2017-02-15 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 55 - 42
2017-02-19 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 72 - 52
2017-02-23 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 67 - 54
2017-02-26 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 61 - 59
2017-03-02 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 72 - 58
2017-03-03 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 66 - 60
2017-03-04 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 71 - 60
2017-03-05 @ Maryland Terrapins L 64 - 74
2017-03-17 @ Green Bay Phoenix W 74 - 62
2017-03-19 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 82 - 88

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Morrissette A. Morrissette G 29 34.7 15.7 3.6 4.8 2.1 0.4 3.0 14.0 9.5 - - - - 39.4 34.0 80.8 - 50.2 45.6
D. Oden D. Oden G 29 31.3 12.1 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.0 1.1 9.4 7.6 - - - - 47.4 39.4 80.4 - 60.1 57.7
B. Perry B. Perry F 28 28.0 11.1 5.4 2.1 1.5 0.9 2.2 8.2 10.6 - - - - 45.0 29.5 74.2 - 54.8 47.8
A. Keys A. Keys G 28 31.9 10.1 6.0 3.3 1.2 0.1 2.3 9.2 9.2 - - - - 40.1 29.8 73.3 - 48.0 42.8
A. Harris A. Harris F 29 21.1 6.9 4.9 0.7 0.7 1.9 1.2 6.0 8.0 - - - - 51.4 0 48.9 - 51.9 51.4
D. McBryde D. McBryde F 29 25.8 6.6 6.2 1.4 0.6 0.8 1.8 6.1 7.7 - - - - 46.6 0.0 57.8 - 48.5 46.6
L. Cooper L. Cooper G 29 15.5 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.7 3.3 3.9 - - - - 42.7 40.0 60.0 - 47.7 45.8
T. Murphy T. Murphy G 9 14.6 3.4 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 1.6 3.7 1.6 - - - - 30.3 36.8 50.0 - 42.4 40.9
N. Kiesler N. Kiesler C 23 9.0 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.0 1.9 1.6 - - - - 34.1 0 90.0 - 40.3 34.1
A. Abel A. Abel G 5 2.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.4 - - - - 20.0 25.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
M. Gray M. Gray G 16 4.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 - - - - 16.7 0.0 50.0 - 19.4 16.7
B. Horrocks B. Horrocks C 2 6.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG