🐻⬇️🏀

Pratt

Also known as: Pratt
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 877 (#557) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 919 (#465) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 935 (#625) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -18.5 (#352) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -14.2 (#600) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.201 (#667) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -33.0 More → 0.021 (#748) AdjNet -33.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -33.4 More → 0.020 (#749) AdjNet -33.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 83.9 More → 0.103 (#740) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 83.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 75.8 More → 0.347 (#632) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 75.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.270 (#604) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.281 (#608) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 901 (#477) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ New Jersey City L 70 - 81
2025-11-11 vs Hunter W 68 - 57
2025-11-15 @ Mt. St. Mary (NY) W 81 - 63
2025-11-19 @ Merchant Marine L 66 - 71
2025-11-22 vs St. Joseph's (L.I.) W 61 - 60
2025-11-25 vs St. Joseph's (Brkln) W 66 - 61
2025-12-01 vs Brooklyn W 78 - 66
2025-12-03 @ Sarah Lawrence W 69 - 65
2025-12-05 vs Washington Col. L 51 - 62
2025-12-13 @ York (NY) W 86 - 78
2026-01-03 vs Elms W 90 - 60
2026-01-07 vs Gwynedd Mercy L 63 - 72
2026-01-10 @ Marywood L 80 - 84
2026-01-14 vs Centenary (NJ) L 62 - 67
2026-01-17 vs Marymount (VA) L 48 - 75
2026-01-21 vs Saint Elizabeth W 83 - 74
2026-01-24 @ Immaculata L 82 - 89
2026-01-28 @ Neumann W 84 - 79
2026-01-31 @ Gwynedd Mercy L 67 - 84
2026-02-04 @ Centenary (NJ) L 63 - 65
2026-02-07 vs Marywood W 74 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kurt Thomas - 21 27.0 12.9 4.3 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.9 9.2 9.7 61 3.0 15.6 50.5 23.1 65.7 3.8 56.8 52.8
Mekhi Davis - 21 25.7 11.0 4.5 2.2 1.1 0.4 1.7 9.6 7.9 32 1.6 8.8 49.5 28.0 60.5 0.47 52.6 51.2
Trey Phillips - 15 26.3 10.9 7.3 0.9 0.5 1.5 2.1 9.7 9.5 4 0.3 2.5 48.3 41.2 44.7 -0.6 50.7 50.7
Cameron Hatcher - 16 25.9 10.3 6.6 1.6 2.1 0.6 1.1 9.7 10.4 -1 -0.1 -0.8 36.8 34.1 67.7 -0.51 48.9 46.5
Thomas Graetz - 20 24.3 9.2 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.9 8.1 3.0 11 0.6 3.2 36.4 36.1 58.7 1.92 47.2 43.2
Elijah Fermaint - 20 32.9 7.7 5.2 4.5 1.4 0.1 2.0 6.0 10.8 31 1.6 8.2 45.8 27.6 75.0 -0.77 54.6 49.2
Thomas Prendergast - 15 19.4 5.7 5.2 1.6 1.7 0.9 2.0 5.1 8.0 -9 -0.6 -3.1 44.7 0.0 41.5 0.4 45.2 44.7
Sebastian Roda - 19 16.8 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.2 1.5 6.1 2.5 -9 -0.5 -4.9 26.7 27.5 47.4 -3.44 37.4 36.2
Mason Fritz - 18 10.4 3.7 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 2.7 3.3 33 1.9 25.5 45.8 36.1 83.3 1.14 62.9 59.4
Amare Thompson - 6 8.0 2.8 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 2.8 2.5 -7 -1.8 -100.0 47.1 0 25.0 -0.4 45.3 47.1
Lucas Zamboni - 6 5.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 9 1.8 1350.0 50.0 0.0 0 -0.53 50.0 50.0
Matthias Mittendorfer - 5 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 -8 -2.0 -384.0 50.0 0 0 -0.6 50.0 50.0
Benjamin Labee - 9 3.1 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.9 -20 -2.2 -39.6 50.0 0 66.7 -1.67 60.2 50.0
Nate Horowitz - 4 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG