Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 920 (#201) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 946 (#206) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 935 (#499) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.7 (#236) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.4 (#376) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.527 (#157) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.998 (#48) | NetEff +54.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.521 (#226) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.520 (#228) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.513 (#228) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 75.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.429 (#428) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.424 (#380) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.417 (#387) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 935 (#300) | RD 92 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Assumption | L | 74 - 91 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Holy Family | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Jefferson | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Bentley | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 70 - 85 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 104 - 72 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Staten Island | L | 88 - 95 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Caldwell | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Dominican (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Chestnut Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Bridgeport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Holy Family | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Felician | L | 64 - 85 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Jefferson | L | 65 - 83 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 103 - 76 |
| 2026-02-17 | @ | Caldwell | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | W | 99 - 92 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 78 - 97 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Georgian Court | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2026-03-03 | @ | Caldwell | L | 54 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taquan Williams | - | 25 | 32.6 | 14.8 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 11.8 | 9.4 | - | - | - | - | 45.1 | 36.3 | 79.8 | - | 55.7 | 51.4 |
| Derrick Thomas II | - | 23 | 27.0 | 11.8 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 10.5 | 8.6 | - | - | - | - | 39.3 | 25.3 | 80.3 | - | 49.4 | 43.6 |
| Zion Lott | - | 25 | 28.3 | 11.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 27.4 | 76.6 | - | 47.9 | 45.1 |
| Deng Akok | - | 25 | 22.3 | 8.4 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.0 | 8.8 | - | - | - | - | 49.7 | 31.0 | 64.9 | - | 55.2 | 53.4 |
| Tre Duncan | - | 22 | 26.6 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 39.7 | 34.1 | 68.0 | - | 51.5 | 49.7 |
| Gianni Thompson | - | 19 | 16.4 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 45.6 | 40.0 | 73.3 | - | 57.7 | 54.4 |
| Brody Limric | - | 20 | 10.1 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 46.2 | 48.0 | 50.0 | - | 64.1 | 64.6 |
| Harry Scully | - | 25 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 44.1 | 33.9 | 30.0 | - | 53.4 | 54.3 |
| Cape Holden | - | 23 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 38.2 | 40.4 | 100.0 | - | 58.7 | 55.1 |
| Anthony Chinn | - | 17 | 12.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 43.0 | 44.4 |
| Cayleb Walters | - | 6 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 65.4 | 66.7 |
| Stanley Njekwe | - | 20 | 9.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 47.8 | 22.2 | 50.0 | - | 52.3 | 52.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG