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Portland

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Portland Pilots
Program History
Coach: Cheryl Sorenson

2019 Team Stats (2 games)

66.5
PPG
95.0
Opp
-28.5
Margin
37.8%
FG%
25.5%
3P%
67.9%
FT%
27.0
RPG
7.5
APG
21.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.7
Adj PPG
74.7
Adj Opp PPG
#197
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 882 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 956 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +77 elo More → 923 (#258) HCA +77 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -2.3 (#187) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -2.8 (#202) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.311 (#237) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.442 (#181) AdjNet -2.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.442 (#179) AdjNet -2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.434 (#197) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 73.9 More → 0.388 (#254) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 73.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.412 (#205) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.403 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 28 More → 938 (#213) RD 155 | GP 28

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-10 @ Utah Valley Wolverines W 65 - 60
2018-11-12 @ Weber State Wildcats W 89 - 73
2018-11-16 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine W 72 - 65
2018-11-18 @ Arizona Wildcats L 70 - 92
2018-11-24 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 83 - 74
2018-11-28 vs Utah State Aggies W 61 - 54
2018-12-01 @ Portland State Vikings L 79 - 92
2018-12-07 vs Warner Pacific Knights W 98 - 63
2018-12-09 vs Willamette Bearcats W 82 - 27
2018-12-16 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 69 - 84
2018-12-18 vs Air Force Falcons W 79 - 60
2018-12-29 @ Pepperdine Waves L 68 - 82
2018-12-31 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 58 - 76
2019-01-03 vs Pacific Tigers L 66 - 76
2019-01-05 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 91 - 98
2019-01-12 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 71 - 97
2019-01-17 @ San Diego Toreros W 69 - 60
2019-01-19 @ BYU Cougars L 71 - 79
2019-01-24 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 66 - 72
2019-01-26 vs San Francisco Dons W 78 - 73
2019-01-31 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 85 - 113
2019-02-02 @ Pacific Tigers L 77 - 87
2019-02-09 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 62 - 93
2019-02-14 vs BYU Cougars L 69 - 70
2019-02-16 vs San Diego Toreros W 96 - 74
2019-02-21 @ San Francisco Dons W 69 - 66
2019-02-23 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 68 - 106
2019-02-28 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 54 - 70
2019-03-02 vs Pepperdine Waves W 85 - 63
2019-03-07 vs San Francisco Dons L 69 - 76

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
H. Andrews H. Andrews G 2 26.0 13.5 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 9.0 10.5 -19 21 -0.9 -1.4 38.9 0.0 92.9 -1.49 55.9 38.9
J. Spencer J. Spencer F 2 30.5 13.0 5.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.5 10.0 7.0 -3 21 -0.1 -0.2 40.0 27.3 87.5 1.68 55.3 47.5
D. Slaga D. Slaga G 1 36.0 13.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 0.0 -13 20 -0.7 -0.9 38.5 0.0 100.0 0.68 45.4 38.5
M. Muhlheim M. Muhlheim G 2 25.0 8.0 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.5 5.5 -37 20 -1.9 -2.6 33.3 35.7 50.0 -0.82 50.4 50.0
J. Gorzeman J. Gorzeman G 2 27.5 7.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 6.0 3.5 15 21 0.7 1.7 41.7 33.3 50.0 1.35 51.2 50.0
K. Andersen K. Andersen G 2 18.0 6.5 1.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 -0.5 -21 21 -1.0 -2.1 41.7 60.0 0.0 -3.35 50.5 54.2
J. Matz J. Matz G 2 23.0 5.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 3.5 5.0 -1.0 11 19 0.6 1.1 20.0 0.0 85.7 1.72 38.2 20.0
L. Kaitu'u L. Kaitu'u F 2 19.5 4.5 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 3.0 2.5 -46 19 -2.4 -9.1 66.7 0 20.0 -2.8 54.9 66.7
L. Kaempf L. Kaempf F 1 18.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 21 18 1.2 3.4 33.3 0.0 33.3 1.27 35.5 33.3
K. Wooldridge K. Wooldridge F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 7 -0.3 -4.7 0 0 0 -1.95 0 0
L. Walker L. Walker C 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 36 6 6.0 37.0 0.0 0 0 2.14 0.0 0.0
E. Alaix E. Alaix F 2 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 2 7 0.3 2.9 0.0 0.0 0 -2.02 0.0 0.0
S. Parker S. Parker F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.91 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG