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Portland State

Also known as: Portland State Vikings
Program History

2014 Team Stats (3 games)

66.7
PPG
68.3
Opp
-1.7
Margin
41.1%
FG%
34.1%
3P%
78.7%
FT%
29.7
RPG
9.7
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.5
Adj PPG
73.8
Adj Opp PPG
#274
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 988 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 918 (#244) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1015 (#150) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -6.9 (#276) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -7.9 (#287) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.421 (#215) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.6 More โ†’ 0.248 (#268) AdjNet -9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.7 More โ†’ 0.246 (#268) AdjNet -9.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 73.8 More โ†’ 0.361 (#274) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 73.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 71.9 More โ†’ 0.423 (#249) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.374 (#249) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.386 (#244) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 30 More โ†’ 945 (#216) RD 115 | GP 30

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ UNLV Rebels L 48 - 67
2013-11-13 vs Pacific Lutheran Lutes W 79 - 43
2013-11-22 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 67 - 63
2013-11-23 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 77 - 74
2013-11-24 vs UC Davis Aggies W 79 - 63
2013-11-29 @ Boise State Broncos L 60 - 76
2013-12-07 vs Portland Pilots L 76 - 92
2013-12-14 vs Idaho Vandals L 75 - 76
2013-12-23 vs Evergreen State Geoducks W 98 - 65
2014-01-02 @ Idaho State Bengals L 76 - 87
2014-01-04 @ Weber State Wildcats L 62 - 79
2014-01-09 vs Montana State Bobcats L 76 - 79
2014-01-11 vs Montana Grizzlies W 81 - 78
2014-01-16 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 68 - 64
2014-01-18 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 56 - 77
2014-01-25 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 67 - 64
2014-01-27 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 92 - 83
2014-01-30 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 80 - 57
2014-02-01 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 70 - 68
2014-02-06 @ Montana Grizzlies L 76 - 82
2014-02-08 @ Montana State Bobcats L 64 - 69
2014-02-13 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 63 - 65
2014-02-15 vs Sacramento State Hornets L 65 - 72
2014-02-20 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 86 - 79
2014-02-24 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 87 - 76
2014-02-27 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 73 - 83
2014-03-01 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 77 - 68
2014-03-06 vs Weber State Wildcats W 66 - 59
2014-03-08 vs Idaho State Bengals W 78 - 74
2014-03-13 @ Montana Grizzlies W 70 - 63
2014-03-14 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 63 - 79
2014-03-18 @ San Diego Toreros L 65 - 87

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
DaShaun Wiggins DaShaun Wiggins G 27 22.4 12.4 2.5 1.2 1.0 0.0 1.3 2.1 13.8 -10 26 -0.4 -0.7 36.8 30.4 71.7 -1.93 216.9 43.0
Tim Douglas Tim Douglas G 27 35.1 11.6 2.6 2.9 1.1 0.0 2.4 3.0 12.7 -25 27 -0.9 -1.1 35.8 39.3 79.3 0.05 166.9 42.6
Gary Winston Gary Winston G 25 30.2 11.6 2.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 2.0 1.6 13.2 -27 24 -1.1 -1.6 36.6 38.9 87.5 -1.33 302.9 45.1
Aaron Moore Aaron Moore F 7 30.3 11.3 6.0 1.3 0.9 0.6 1.7 4.1 14.1 -10 7 -1.4 -2.0 44.8 0 88.9 -1.02 119.8 44.8
Kyle Richardson Kyle Richardson F 27 28.1 10.3 6.8 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.9 1.6 16.1 -23 27 -0.9 -1.3 46.5 0 74.1 -0.56 253.3 46.5
A. Winston, Jr. A. Winston, Jr. G 26 27.3 8.7 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.2 1.6 1.1 12.6 24 26 0.9 1.4 53.6 16.7 78.6 -0.75 279.0 55.4
Marcus Hall Marcus Hall G 27 30.1 7.8 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.1 1.6 10.9 -21 27 -0.8 -1.1 39.5 41.4 78.6 -0.19 214.6 53.5
Brandon Cataldo Brandon Cataldo C 24 10.5 4.0 3.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 6.9 -24 23 -1.0 -4.2 55.6 0 100.0 -2.42 263.0 55.6
Zach Gengler Zach Gengler G 24 9.2 2.8 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 4.1 42 25 1.7 7.2 41.7 50.0 0 1.85 279.2 54.2
Lamont Prosser Lamont Prosser C 2 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0
Alyx Foster Alyx Foster G 25 8.8 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 39 24 1.6 7.4 100.0 0 50.0 1.01 357.1 100.0
Kyle Benton Kyle Benton F 6 4.0 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 113.6 0
Joel King Joel King G 5 1.2 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.02 0 0
Jacob Begin Jacob Begin G 8 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0 8 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.73 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG