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Portland State

Also known as: Portland State Vikings
Program History

2011 Team Stats (1 games)

83.0
PPG
81.0
Opp
+2.0
Margin
42.3%
FG%
47.1%
3P%
81.6%
FT%
30.0
RPG
14.0
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.8
Adj PPG
73.6
Adj Opp PPG
#257
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 895 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 921 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 978 (#201) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -6.2 (#255) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -6.6 (#263) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.398 (#215) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.256 (#254) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.254 (#254) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 73.6 More โ†’ 0.369 (#257) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 73.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 72.7 More โ†’ 0.397 (#269) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.359 (#244) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.365 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 26 More โ†’ 929 (#220) RD 140 | GP 26

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Pepperdine Waves W 83 - 81
2010-11-19 @ SMU Mustangs L 53 - 69
2010-11-20 vs Lamar Cardinals W 102 - 98
2010-11-21 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 69 - 58
2010-12-01 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 83 - 76
2010-12-05 @ Oregon Ducks L 49 - 68
2010-12-09 vs George Fox W 92 - 58
2010-12-12 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 93 - 89
2010-12-15 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 77 - 92
2010-12-18 vs Portland Pilots L 67 - 78
2010-12-20 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 73 - 79
2010-12-23 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 73 - 53
2010-12-29 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 66 - 79
2011-01-02 @ Idaho State Bengals W 79 - 72
2011-01-08 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 74 - 58
2011-01-15 @ Montana Grizzlies L 70 - 77
2011-01-20 vs Weber State Wildcats W 71 - 69
2011-01-22 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 59 - 71
2011-01-27 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 51 - 65
2011-01-29 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 86 - 80
2011-02-03 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 55 - 63
2011-02-16 @ Weber State Wildcats L 58 - 80
2011-02-19 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 84 - 75
2011-02-24 vs Montana Grizzlies L 84 - 85
2011-02-26 vs Montana State Bobcats W 69 - 64
2011-03-02 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 52 - 79
2011-03-10 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 81 - 71

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Melvin Jones Melvin Jones G 13 31.9 13.1 2.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 1.2 1.3 15.3 -47 23 -2.0 -2.7 47.1 58.3 87.5 -2.87 414.2 67.6
Charles Odum Charles Odum G 13 28.7 13.0 3.5 2.8 1.2 0.1 2.5 0.9 17.2 -25 23 -1.1 -1.6 58.3 50.0 25.0 -0.95 614.1 62.5
Phillip Thomas Phillip Thomas F 13 24.0 12.2 3.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.4 1.0 14.0 -58 23 -2.5 -5.1 30.8 0 77.8 -2.59 380.0 30.8
Chehales Tapscott Chehales Tapscott F 9 29.1 11.0 8.3 2.4 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.0 21.1 25 18 1.4 2.0 44.4 0 70.0 3.55 369.4 44.4
Chris Harriel Chris Harriel F 13 30.0 9.2 4.8 1.9 1.2 0.4 1.8 1.3 14.4 -53 23 -2.3 -3.1 35.3 25.0 90.0 -2.24 278.0 38.2
Phil Nelson Phil Nelson F 12 22.3 6.4 3.3 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 10.4 -14 13 -1.1 -1.9 25.0 16.7 0 -1.05 481.2 31.2
Paul Guede Paul Guede G-F 13 17.1 4.1 2.9 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.9 0.8 7.0 -6 23 -0.3 -0.7 50.0 66.7 66.7 -0.22 173.4 60.0
Dane Johnson Dane Johnson G 13 14.7 2.2 1.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 0.8 0.1 5.9 3 22 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.39 1450.0 0.0
Nate Lozeau Nate Lozeau C 9 11.2 1.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 2.7 8 19 0.4 1.3 33.3 0 0 -0.86 133.3 33.3
Alonzo Brandon Alonzo Brandon G 8 5.8 1.5 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.2 3 11 0.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.9 300.0 0.0
Terry Coleman Terry Coleman G 4 5.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 -1 6 -0.2 -1.0 0 0 0 -2.07 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG