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Portland State

Also known as: Portland State Vikings
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 882 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 938 (#208) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 982 (#185) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -6.2 (#243) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -7.3 (#255) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.258 (#264) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.8 More โ†’ 0.245 (#246) AdjNet -9.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.8 More โ†’ 0.242 (#246) AdjNet -9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 76.6 More โ†’ 0.359 (#251) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 76.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 76.9 More โ†’ 0.380 (#256) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 76.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.349 (#235) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.353 (#235) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 27 More โ†’ 939 (#210) RD 135 | GP 27

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-17 @ Boise State W 60 - 53
2001-11-20 @ Arizona State W 79 - 69
2001-11-24 vs San Diego L 59 - 74
2001-11-27 @ Cal Poly L 79 - 100
2001-12-01 @ Gonzaga L 58 - 93
2001-12-08 N Portland W 77 - 75
2001-12-12 vs Oregon State L 46 - 51
2001-12-15 @ Nevada L 53 - 75
2001-12-18 N Santa Clara W 76 - 63
2001-12-19 @ Stanford L 63 - 87
2001-12-29 @ Wyoming L 58 - 104
2002-01-05 vs Loyola Marymount W 90 - 78
2002-01-11 vs Montana State L 68 - 74
2002-01-12 vs Montana L 88 - 99
2002-01-19 @ Eastern Washington L 79 - 88
2002-01-25 @ Idaho State W 87 - 77
2002-01-26 @ Weber State L 85 - 90
2002-02-01 vs Sacramento State W 86 - 83
2002-02-02 vs Northern Arizona L 60 - 77
2002-02-08 @ Montana L 66 - 80
2002-02-09 @ Montana State L 82 - 94
2002-02-16 vs Eastern Washington L 62 - 78
2002-02-22 vs Weber State W 83 - 77
2002-02-23 vs Idaho State W 91 - 78
2002-03-01 @ Northern Arizona W 88 - 79
2002-03-02 @ Sacramento State W 74 - 67
2002-03-07 N Weber State L 62 - 84

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.