Portland State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 910 (#195) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 965 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 947 (#216) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.1 (#162) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.2 (#157) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.488 (#165) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.493 (#164) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.493 (#164) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.498 (#160) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.491 (#158) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.459 (#171) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.457 (#174) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 942 (#192) | RD 137 | GP 26 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-20 | @ | Arizona State | L | 57 - 79 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Portland | W | 61 - 51 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Cal Poly | W | 81 - 69 |
| 1999-11-29 | @ | Pacific | W | 69 - 65 |
| 1999-12-03 | vs | Oregon | L | 87 - 91 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Air Force | W | 72 - 71 |
| 1999-12-20 | vs | Washington State | L | 62 - 68 |
| 1999-12-28 | N | Pennsylvania | L | 74 - 84 |
| 1999-12-29 | N | Boston University | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2000-01-07 | @ | Weber State | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2000-01-13 | vs | Cal State Northridge | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 101 - 75 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | Idaho State | W | 84 - 70 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Sacramento State | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2000-01-27 | @ | Montana | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Montana State | L | 73 - 91 |
| 2000-02-03 | vs | Weber State | L | 79 - 92 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Eastern Washington | L | 61 - 91 |
| 2000-02-11 | vs | Eastern Washington | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Idaho State | W | 87 - 64 |
| 2000-02-24 | @ | Northern Arizona | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Cal State Northridge | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2000-03-02 | vs | Montana | L | 79 - 88 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | Montana State | W | 84 - 67 |
| 2000-03-08 | N | Northern Arizona | L | 75 - 77 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.