Portland St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 932 (#361) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1047 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 962 (#379) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 935 (#580) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.4 (#341) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#514) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#129) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.199 (#584) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.998 (#73) | NetEff +54.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.990 (#110) | AdjNet +39.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.057 (#592) | AdjNet -24.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.991 (#119) | AdjNet +39.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.050 (#592) | AdjNet -24.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.929 (#105) | AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 53.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.205 (#575) | AdjO 52.3 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.369 (#568) | AdjO 58.0 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.304 (#525) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.308 (#528) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 941 (#379) | RD 104 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | @ | New England Col. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | VTSU Castleton | L | 42 - 63 |
| 2015-12-01 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | W | 70 - 56 |
| 2015-12-03 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 50 - 44 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 47 - 52 |
| 2015-12-08 | vs | Lasell | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-10 | vs | Salem St. | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Mount Holyoke | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-05 | vs | Newbury | W | 57 - 45 |
| 2016-01-07 | @ | Fisher | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 45 - 71 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | UMass Boston | L | 56 - 57 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | WestConn | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2016-01-20 | @ | Keene St. | L | 54 - 76 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 42 - 55 |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 42 - 66 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2016-02-02 | vs | Norwich | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 46 - 76 |
| 2016-02-10 | vs | Keene St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | UMass Boston | L | 40 - 65 |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | Southern Me. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | WestConn | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-23 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | - | Preview |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.