Portland Bible
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1012 (#354) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.1 (#141) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#797) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#797) | AdjNet -81.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#797) | AdjNet -81.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.004 (#797) | AdjO 42.6 | AdjD 102.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.794 (#30) | AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.825 (#75) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.809 (#71) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1130 (#127) | RD 331 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Willamette | W | 120 - 83 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 104 - 87 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | George Fox | W | 94 - 50 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terri Miller Jr. | - | 1 | 27.8 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 19 | 1.3 | 102.7 | 70.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 1.03 | 74.2 | 72.5 |
| Cameron Williams | - | 2 | 23.2 | 21.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 13.5 | 19.5 | 63 | 6.3 | 39.4 | 63.0 | 0 | 81.8 | 4.84 | 67.5 | 63.0 |
| James O'Donnell | - | 2 | 20.4 | 19.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 16.5 | - | - | - | 69.6 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 71.6 | 69.6 |
| Timo George | - | 2 | 18.1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.5 | 17.5 | - | - | - | 68.4 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 74.1 | 68.4 |
| Mikah Ballew | - | 2 | 27.2 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 56.2 | 45.5 | 63.6 | - | 72.0 | 71.9 |
| Sebastian Tidor | - | 1 | 18.8 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 82.9 | 81.2 |
| Jaylin Henderson | - | 1 | 27.5 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 24 | 4.8 | 16.5 | 55.6 | 42.9 | 0 | 1.32 | 72.2 | 72.2 |
| Joel Foxwell | - | 2 | 31.6 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 25.0 | 91.7 | - | 51.6 | 35.3 |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott | - | 1 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 73.9 | 71.4 |
| Garrett Nuckolls | - | 2 | 26.1 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | - | 2 | 10.4 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 59.9 | 50.0 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 148 | 7.4 | 38.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 3.36 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Matus Hronsky | - | 2 | 16.7 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Charles Chukwu | - | 1 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules | - | 2 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 16.7 | - | 39.3 | 50.0 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | - | 1 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Alex Dupre | - | 1 | 13.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Kelcy Phipps | - | 1 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Kean Webb | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -103.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.75 | 39.9 | 50.0 |
| Preston Lee | - | 2 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Isaiah Williams | - | 1 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -4.3 | -283.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.36 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
| Kelson Gebbers | - | 2 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| NaVaughn Long | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brayden Barron | - | 1 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brycen Long | - | 1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Colt Ness | - | 1 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Samuel Stewart IV | - | 1 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG