Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 758 (#523) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 775 (#510) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 874 (#634) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.1 (#272) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.8 (#521) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.096 (#539) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.101 (#397) | NetEff -16.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.131 (#573) | AdjNet -16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.131 (#571) | AdjNet -16.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.284 (#568) | AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 71.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.263 (#636) | AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.197 (#600) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.204 (#601) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 818 (#455) | RD 106 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Shippensburg | W | 56 - 50 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Shepherd | L | 52 - 74 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Wheeling | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | West Liberty | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 77 - 52 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Concord | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Robert Morris | L | 29 - 79 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Ursuline | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Glenville St. | L | 98 - 110 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | West Virginia St. | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Fairmont St. | L | 56 - 80 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Frostburg St. | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | West Liberty | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 71 - 42 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | L | 46 - 65 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Glenville St. | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Concord | L | 56 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Fultz | - | 19 | 31.0 | 14.6 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 14.6 | 4.9 | -49 | -2.3 | -20.9 | 41.9 | 11.5 | 60.0 | 0.7 | 45.0 | 42.4 |
| Elizabeth Boyd | - | 19 | 28.4 | 11.7 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 10.1 | 12.1 | -70 | -3.5 | -25.2 | 48.2 | 25.0 | 57.8 | 0.41 | 50.9 | 48.7 |
| Alexis Giles | - | 17 | 29.5 | 11.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 9.8 | 5.2 | -40 | -2.1 | -17.5 | 36.5 | 29.2 | 75.3 | 1.25 | 49.7 | 42.8 |
| Lexi Adams | - | 3 | 25.7 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 8.3 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 32.0 | 14.3 | 72.2 | - | 45.6 | 34.0 |
| Fatim Sarr Ndow | - | 9 | 20.3 | 6.3 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0 | 31.0 | - | 42.7 | 44.4 |
| Lucia Hervia | - | 15 | 22.1 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 5.2 | -19 | -1.2 | -9.0 | 36.2 | 22.9 | 75.0 | -2.67 | 42.8 | 40.4 |
| Sophia Moore | - | 12 | 10.9 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.1 | -33 | -2.5 | -139.7 | 36.2 | 34.8 | 80.0 | 1.39 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
| Kamryn Pieper | - | 19 | 30.6 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 5.4 | 7.1 | -13 | -0.7 | -5.6 | 31.1 | 25.5 | 77.8 | 1.64 | 40.6 | 36.9 |
| Teshaya Anderson | - | 17 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 0.9 | -25 | -1.4 | -90.1 | 29.2 | 25.0 | 81.5 | 0.31 | 42.9 | 34.7 |
| Kiyana Larocque | - | 17 | 18.6 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4.2 | -76 | -4.2 | -32.5 | 44.7 | 0.0 | 65.2 | 1.02 | 50.9 | 44.7 |
| Amaya Richardson | - | 13 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | -36 | -2.6 | -45.1 | 26.8 | 22.2 | 0.0 | -1.61 | 31.4 | 31.7 |
| Kayla Walter | - | 18 | 12.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | -75 | -3.8 | -73.0 | 23.8 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 2.04 | 29.7 | 29.8 |
| Gracie Cato | - | 5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -2 | -0.5 | -34.8 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.05 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaylin Zaal | - | 2 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG