Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 791 (#269) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 876 (#245) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 983 (#388) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.5 (#260) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.7 (#315) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.175 (#287) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.995 (#68) | NetEff +54.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.171 (#288) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.207 (#284) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.303 (#285) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.465 (#371) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.466 (#340) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.466 (#339) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 964 (#258) | RD 101 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Edinboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Wheeling | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | West Liberty | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Davis & Elkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Cedarville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Concord | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Glenville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Charleston (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | West Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Fairmont St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Frostburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | West Liberty | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Salem (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Davis & Elkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Glenville St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Concord | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | West Virginia St. | L | 72 - 91 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 82 - 86 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Fairmont St. | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 68 - 92 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Wheeling | L | 83 - 93 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Salem (WV) | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2026-03-04 | @ | Davis & Elkins | L | 73 - 75 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.