Plymouth St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 843 (#582) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 896 (#496) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 829 (#738) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.6 (#277) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.8 (#609) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.387 (#538) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.164 (#570) | AdjNet -14.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.158 (#569) | AdjNet -14.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.282 (#565) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 76.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.294 (#675) | AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 76.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.223 (#643) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.221 (#654) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 803 (#547) | RD 106 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | New England Col. | W | 96 - 56 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 100 - 70 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Gordon | W | 76 - 75 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Bates | L | 87 - 95 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Regis (MA) | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | U New England | L | 84 - 92 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Rivier | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Colby-Sawyer | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | WestConn | L | 77 - 92 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Norwich | L | 50 - 82 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Keene St. | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | VTSU Castleton | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | UMass Boston | L | 55 - 80 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | L | 66 - 86 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 53 - 83 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | WestConn | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Keene St. | L | 65 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 72 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Almonte | - | 1 | 25.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 126 | 15.8 | 812.9 | 80.0 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.19 | 83.1 | 80.0 |
| Gehrig Brynda | - | 1 | 31.0 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 42 | 3.2 | 13.0 | 42.9 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 1.62 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Yansel Reyes | - | 16 | 30.6 | 18.1 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 13 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 34.8 | 32.5 | 70.2 | 2.27 | 48.1 | 42.4 |
| Jamir Harvey | - | 1 | 31.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.49 | 44.0 | 40.9 |
| Torran Bosworth | - | 18 | 29.7 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 5.2 | -38 | -2.0 | -12.3 | 34.5 | 33.9 | 90.7 | -0.06 | 52.3 | 45.5 |
| Rob Elliott | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -20 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 62.5 | 33.3 | 0 | -4.1 | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Eli Pockette | - | 16 | 29.6 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 9.8 | 6.6 | -35 | -2.2 | -9.7 | 34.4 | 36.1 | 88.0 | -0.08 | 47.6 | 43.9 |
| Brady Hulland | - | 18 | 24.2 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 7.3 | -30 | -1.7 | -12.8 | 44.4 | 39.5 | 63.4 | -0.56 | 52.1 | 49.7 |
| Ned Fitzpatrick | - | 1 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 76 | 4.8 | 23.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.01 | 86.2 | 75.0 |
| Asante' Aurora | - | 17 | 20.1 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.9 | 5.0 | -44 | -2.4 | -26.2 | 36.8 | 29.6 | 77.8 | -0.8 | 47.7 | 43.6 |
| Marcel Henry | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 102 | 5.7 | 30.6 | 14.3 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.07 | 36.3 | 14.3 |
| Keegan Martinez | - | 17 | 13.6 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.6 | 3.3 | -52 | -2.9 | -27.5 | 43.6 | 45.5 | 50.0 | -1.72 | 47.2 | 46.8 |
| Caden Brown | - | 9 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 6.2 | -3 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 62.5 | 40.0 | 40.0 | -3.04 | 63.4 | 66.7 |
| Will Mollica | - | 18 | 19.2 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 6.1 | -58 | -3.2 | -20.6 | 50.0 | 16.7 | 75.0 | -1.13 | 53.7 | 50.9 |
| Evan Berkeley | - | 18 | 10.4 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | -37 | -2.1 | -15.0 | 30.8 | 32.4 | 70.0 | -0.62 | 46.9 | 41.3 |
| Jordan Gunthrop | - | 13 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 40.0 | 30.8 | 75.0 | 1.33 | 52.6 | 48.0 |
| Bory Bory | - | 8 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.9 | -36 | -5.1 | -82.6 | 53.8 | 75.0 | 0.0 | -3.11 | 63.2 | 65.4 |
| Javari Ellison | - | 14 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.7 | -7 | -0.5 | -11.3 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.79 | 59.2 | 57.1 |
| Andrew Perry | - | 14 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | -30 | -2.3 | -50.8 | 38.1 | 33.3 | 37.5 | -1.46 | 46.9 | 47.6 |
| Tahko Lara | - | 10 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 13 | 1.9 | 54.4 | 46.2 | 30.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| Johnny Arakelian | - | 9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | -6 | -1.0 | -20.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.33 | 46.6 | 41.7 |
| Jayden Hardwick | - | 3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 2.0 | 20.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.37 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Dez Krakowka | - | 7 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 | 32.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Liam Gallagher | - | 7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -8 | -2.0 | -36.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.85 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Nik Hayes | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 8 | 2.7 | 30.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Armaan Sandhu | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 41 | 2.3 | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Jahlyl Morgan | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 88 | 5.9 | 56.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG