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Pittsburgh

Also known as: Pittsburgh Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1402 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1326 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1178 (#12) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +12.6 (#35) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +14.2 (#25) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.852 (#12) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.0 More โ†’ 0.927 (#19) AdjNet +22.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.1 More โ†’ 0.928 (#19) AdjNet +22.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 58.7 More โ†’ 0.763 (#27) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 61.6 More โ†’ 0.738 (#12) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 61.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.852 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.849 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1366 (#6) RD 98 | GP 34

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-16 vs Morgan State W 76 - 55
2001-11-18 vs Northern Arizona W 58 - 47
2001-11-20 vs Robert Morris W 86 - 62
2001-11-23 N Oakland W 70 - 53
2001-11-24 N Illinois State W 65 - 46
2001-11-25 N South Florida L 63 - 69
2001-12-05 vs Saint Francis (PA) W 77 - 55
2001-12-08 vs Penn State W 83 - 53
2001-12-15 vs Rhode Island W 58 - 51
2001-12-19 @ Ohio State W 62 - 55
2001-12-22 vs Duquesne W 78 - 63
2001-12-29 vs St. Francis Brooklyn W 74 - 61
2002-01-02 vs St. John's (NY) W 77 - 54
2002-01-05 @ Boston College W 77 - 74
2002-01-08 @ Rutgers W 66 - 58
2002-01-12 vs Notre Dame L 53 - 56
2002-01-15 @ Miami (FL) L 69 - 76
2002-01-19 @ Georgetown W 68 - 67
2002-01-22 vs Syracuse W 72 - 57
2002-01-26 vs Georgetown W 67 - 56
2002-01-30 @ Notre Dame L 76 - 89
2002-02-02 vs Villanova W 71 - 59
2002-02-07 vs Seton Hall W 70 - 65
2002-02-10 @ Syracuse W 75 - 63
2002-02-16 @ West Virginia W 85 - 75
2002-02-21 vs Rutgers W 78 - 59
2002-02-26 @ Seton Hall W 73 - 66
2002-03-02 vs West Virginia W 92 - 65
2002-03-07 N Boston College W 76 - 62
2002-03-08 N Miami (FL) W 76 - 71
2002-03-09 N Connecticut L 65 - 74
2002-03-15 N Central Connecticut State W 71 - 54
2002-03-17 N California W 63 - 50
2002-03-21 N Kent State L 73 - 78

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.