Pittsburgh
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1015 (#144) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1039 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 956 (#211) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +3.4 (#117) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | +0.3 (#145) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.371 (#202) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.660 (#116) | AdjNet +5.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.664 (#114) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.563 (#123) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.430 (#206) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.534 (#140) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.507 (#151) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 1024 (#141) | RD 135 | GP 30 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-13 | vs | UMBC | W | 84 - 56 |
| 1998-11-17 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 95 - 69 |
| 1998-11-20 | @ | Wright State | W | 76 - 65 |
| 1998-11-24 | vs | TexasβRio Grande Valley | W | 79 - 71 |
| 1998-11-26 | N | Xavier | W | 94 - 76 |
| 1998-11-27 | N | Kentucky | W | 68 - 56 |
| 1998-11-28 | N | Maryland | L | 52 - 87 |
| 1998-12-03 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 78 - 64 |
| 1998-12-06 | @ | Tennessee | L | 53 - 56 |
| 1998-12-09 | @ | St. John's (NY) | L | 52 - 73 |
| 1998-12-12 | vs | Connecticut | L | 69 - 70 |
| 1998-12-22 | vs | Howard | W | 78 - 42 |
| 1998-12-30 | vs | Providence | L | 68 - 83 |
| 1999-01-05 | @ | Notre Dame | L | 64 - 87 |
| 1999-01-10 | vs | Boston College | W | 86 - 70 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Connecticut | L | 58 - 81 |
| 1999-01-19 | @ | Villanova | L | 65 - 86 |
| 1999-01-23 | vs | Georgetown | L | 71 - 79 |
| 1999-01-25 | N | Duquesne | W | 65 - 60 |
| 1999-01-30 | vs | Miami (FL) | W | 60 - 54 |
| 1999-02-02 | @ | Georgetown | L | 58 - 76 |
| 1999-02-06 | vs | St. John's (NY) | L | 60 - 88 |
| 1999-02-08 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 61 - 77 |
| 1999-02-11 | @ | Rutgers | L | 58 - 71 |
| 1999-02-14 | vs | Syracuse | L | 67 - 75 |
| 1999-02-17 | vs | West Virginia | W | 69 - 67 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ | Boston College | W | 67 - 66 |
| 1999-02-23 | @ | Miami (FL) | L | 52 - 85 |
| 1999-02-27 | vs | Seton Hall | W | 59 - 58 |
| 1999-03-03 | N | Rutgers | L | 51 - 64 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.