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Pittsburgh

Also known as: Pittsburgh Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

1998-1999
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1015 (#144) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1039 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More β†’ 956 (#211) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More β†’ +3.4 (#117) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More β†’ +0.3 (#145) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.371 (#202) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.8 More β†’ 0.660 (#116) AdjNet +5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.9 More β†’ 0.664 (#114) AdjNet +5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 65.3 More β†’ 0.563 (#123) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 68.1 More β†’ 0.430 (#206) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 68.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.534 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.507 (#151) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 30 More β†’ 1024 (#141) RD 135 | GP 30

1999 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1998-11-13 vs UMBC W 84 - 56
1998-11-17 vs Saint Francis (PA) W 95 - 69
1998-11-20 @ Wright State W 76 - 65
1998-11-24 vs Texas–Rio Grande Valley W 79 - 71
1998-11-26 N Xavier W 94 - 76
1998-11-27 N Kentucky W 68 - 56
1998-11-28 N Maryland L 52 - 87
1998-12-03 vs Prairie View A&M W 78 - 64
1998-12-06 @ Tennessee L 53 - 56
1998-12-09 @ St. John's (NY) L 52 - 73
1998-12-12 vs Connecticut L 69 - 70
1998-12-22 vs Howard W 78 - 42
1998-12-30 vs Providence L 68 - 83
1999-01-05 @ Notre Dame L 64 - 87
1999-01-10 vs Boston College W 86 - 70
1999-01-16 @ Connecticut L 58 - 81
1999-01-19 @ Villanova L 65 - 86
1999-01-23 vs Georgetown L 71 - 79
1999-01-25 N Duquesne W 65 - 60
1999-01-30 vs Miami (FL) W 60 - 54
1999-02-02 @ Georgetown L 58 - 76
1999-02-06 vs St. John's (NY) L 60 - 88
1999-02-08 @ Seton Hall L 61 - 77
1999-02-11 @ Rutgers L 58 - 71
1999-02-14 vs Syracuse L 67 - 75
1999-02-17 vs West Virginia W 69 - 67
1999-02-20 @ Boston College W 67 - 66
1999-02-23 @ Miami (FL) L 52 - 85
1999-02-27 vs Seton Hall W 59 - 58
1999-03-03 N Rutgers L 51 - 64

1999 Roster

No roster data available for this season.