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Pittsburgh Panthers

Also known as: Pittsburgh Panthers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (6 games)

53.7
PPG
80.0
Opp
-26.3
Margin
32.8%
FG%
26.9%
3P%
69.6%
FT%
30.8
RPG
9.3
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.3
Adj PPG
63.7
Adj Opp PPG
#202
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 820 (#267) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 880 (#244) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 845 (#330) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -2.6 (#191) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -2.3 (#187) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.073 (#323) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.1 More โ†’ 0.412 (#184) AdjNet -3.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More โ†’ 0.414 (#183) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 63.7 More โ†’ 0.424 (#202) AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 63.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 63.5 More โ†’ 0.350 (#281) AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 63.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.343 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.329 (#240) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 163 | GP 28 More โ†’ 817 (#288) RD 163 | GP 28

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Hampton Lady Pirates L 37 - 60
2011-11-15 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 78 - 50
2011-11-18 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 65 - 59
2011-11-20 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 77 - 70
2011-11-26 vs Drexel Dragons L 50 - 71
2011-11-29 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 58 - 45
2011-12-02 @ High Point Panthers L 75 - 82
2011-12-04 @ Duke Blue Devils L 43 - 92
2011-12-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 54 - 82
2011-12-10 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 65 - 56
2011-12-28 vs Duquesne Dukes L 57 - 70
2011-12-31 vs Lafayette Leopards W 74 - 69
2012-01-03 @ Villanova Wildcats L 62 - 70
2012-01-07 vs Syracuse Orange L 60 - 83
2012-01-10 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 39 - 63
2012-01-14 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 83 - 86
2012-01-17 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 44 - 120
2012-01-21 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 43 - 54
2012-01-28 @ Providence Friars L 50 - 66
2012-01-31 vs St. John's Red Storm L 51 - 66
2012-02-04 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 48 - 72
2012-02-11 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 57 - 62
2012-02-14 vs Louisville Cardinals L 66 - 71
2012-02-18 @ South Florida Bulls L 50 - 62
2012-02-21 vs UConn Huskies L 37 - 86
2012-02-25 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 39 - 63
2012-02-27 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 42 - 60
2012-03-02 @ South Florida Bulls L 59 - 60

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Kiesel B. Kiesel G 6 0.0 13.3 3.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 5.2 14.5 1.3 -233 20 -11.7 -13.4 28.7 21.1 70.3 -0.28 38.7 31.0
A. Dowd A. Dowd NA 4 0.0 11.0 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.2 8.5 3.0 -184 20 -9.2 -12.9 44.1 46.7 0 -0.34 64.7 64.7
A. Anderson A. Anderson G 6 0.0 11.0 4.8 2.3 1.7 0.0 4.3 11.0 4.5 -161 20 -8.1 -12.7 36.4 18.2 70.0 0.34 44.1 39.4
A. Logan A. Logan F 1 0.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -92 16 -5.8 -15.5 50.0 0 100.0 -0.58 54.3 50.0
L. Burdgess L. Burdgess F 5 0.0 5.8 7.2 1.4 0.4 0.6 2.4 4.6 8.4 -66 19 -3.5 -5.7 52.2 0 62.5 4.18 54.7 52.2
K. Dunn K. Dunn F 4 0.0 3.0 4.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 3.2 5.0 -123 20 -6.2 -12.6 30.8 0 80.0 -0.84 39.5 30.8
M. Davis M. Davis G 3 0.0 2.0 3.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 2.3 8.0 -3.0 -221 19 -11.6 -20.4 12.5 0.0 0 -3.42 12.5 12.5
C. Golden C. Golden F 1 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 -162 20 -8.1 -21.5 0 0 100.0 -3.98 113.6 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG