Piedmont
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 910 (#393) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#461) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1039 (#217) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.7 (#214) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.9 (#297) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.713 (#359) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.516 (#355) | NetEff +0.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.363 (#428) | AdjNet -4.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.342 (#433) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.417 (#426) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.605 (#225) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 60.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.533 (#357) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.553 (#335) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1003 (#296) | RD 103 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Oglethorpe | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Sewanee | W | 93 - 72 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Berry | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Linfield | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | LaGrange | L | 49 - 52 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Asbury | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | W | 84 - 51 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Nazareth | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Guilford | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2026-01-06 | vs | Agnes Scott | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Huntingdon | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Wesleyan (GA) | W | 81 - 53 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 63 - 89 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Covenant | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Asbury | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Agnes Scott | W | 82 - 51 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | LaGrange | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Huntingdon | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Belhaven | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Willis | - | 20 | 22.4 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 13.5 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 56.6 | 0 | 48.7 | -0.27 | 56.2 | 56.6 |
| Kylie Watkins | - | 21 | 31.5 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 9.7 | 9.7 | -5 | -0.3 | -2.4 | 44.6 | 39.6 | 72.5 | -1.32 | 51.9 | 49.3 |
| Ava Hunter | - | 21 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 7.4 | 6.8 | 4 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 53.2 | 0 | 63.4 | 2.75 | 56.3 | 53.2 |
| Gracie Deetz | - | 20 | 22.0 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 8.4 | 7.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 37.5 | 27.3 | 62.7 | 2.58 | 44.5 | 39.3 |
| Riley Bryan | - | 21 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 45.6 | 25.0 | 75.8 | -0.31 | 49.8 | 46.3 |
| Brooklyn Begley | - | 21 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 30.8 | 25.6 | 24.0 | 76.9 | -0.54 | 37.1 | 34.9 |
| Hayley Borino | - | 21 | 21.9 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 58 | 3.2 | 32.5 | 24.4 | 23.7 | 78.1 | 1.88 | 36.4 | 30.3 |
| Lily Conkell | - | 20 | 20.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 1.6 | -56 | -3.3 | -29.6 | 22.6 | 25.9 | 100.0 | 1.56 | 34.0 | 31.5 |
| Kennedi Henson | - | 6 | 22.1 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 14.3 | 85.7 | - | 34.7 | 25.0 |
| Kelsey Banks | - | 18 | 11.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.4 | -0.2 | -23 | -1.4 | -16.1 | 19.7 | 21.3 | 100.0 | 0.92 | 30.3 | 27.9 |
| Emma Lightsey | - | 7 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 23.5 | 100.0 | - | 37.1 | 33.3 |
| Jaylah Ellison | - | 9 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | -13 | -1.4 | -29.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.24 | 45.5 | 50.0 |
| Kivana Bogne | - | 6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 10.4 | 36.4 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.68 | 37.9 | 36.4 |
| Emaline Rault | - | 11 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 0.6 | 14.6 | 62.5 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.08 | 69.7 | 62.5 |
| Addison Rouse | - | 4 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -8 | -2.7 | -100.5 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.4 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Marissa Mason | - | 8 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 166 | 8.3 | 39.6 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.45 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG