Philander Smith
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 929 (#612) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 885 (#692) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#375) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.3 (#404) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.4 (#398) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.483 (#298) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.426 (#374) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.429 (#366) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 902 (#469) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Little Rock Trojans | L | 51 - 60 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Perkins
|
- | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Chris Rufus
|
G | 1 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Rayonte Childs
|
G | 1 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Walker
|
- | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 309 | 8.6 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.46 | 0 | 0 |
R. Jordan
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Wright
|
- | 1 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 225 | 7.8 | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.83 | 0 | 0 |
Aaron Johnson
|
G | 1 | 34.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Dontrell Johnson
|
G | 1 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -46 | -1.6 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 |
Eric Kendrick
|
C | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Robert Roberson
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jordan Thomas
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | -291 | -9.1 | -14.1 | - | - | - | 1.05 | - | - |
David Berry
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
J. Thomas
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -291 | -9.1 | -14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.05 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG