Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 943 (#360) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#354) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.3 (#481) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.028 (#585) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.193 (#558) | AdjNet -12.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.200 (#555) | AdjNet -11.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.304 (#555) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.431 (#425) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 76.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.317 (#449) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.337 (#442) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 854 (#418) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-24 | @ | Northern St. | L | 65 - 94 |
| 2023-11-25 | @ | Mary | L | 66 - 87 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dilling | - | 1 | 22.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -3 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.85 | 65.8 | 67.9 |
| Isaiah Hagen | - | 1 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 14 | 2.8 | 6.8 | 70.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.85 | 73.5 | 75.0 |
| Jacksen Moni | - | 1 | 22.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | -24 | -4.8 | -5.2 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.99 | 47.1 | 47.1 |
| Augustin Reede | - | 1 | 22.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | -23 | -4.6 | -5.9 | 50.0 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.91 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Michael Nhial | - | 1 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -33 | -6.6 | -8.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Ian Motschenbacher | - | 1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -12.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.85 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Andrew Bergan | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -52 | -10.4 | -14.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Tobi Obiora | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 11 | 0.8 | 51.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.65 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Devon Brooke | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -1.0 | -9.6 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.52 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kobe Busch | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -5 | -1.0 | -6.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Trey Longstreet | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sam Brumfield | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Libis | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -13.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ethan Russell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Vliem | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG