Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1058 (#122) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1149 (#63) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1029 (#200) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.5 (#128) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.893 (#188) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.930 (#123) | NetEff +21.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.966 (#130) | AdjNet +28.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.967 (#131) | AdjNet +28.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.854 (#125) | AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 59.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.674 (#99) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.832 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.809 (#83) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1142 (#82) | RD 313 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Westmont | W | 74 - 51 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Cal State LA | W | 80 - 72 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elli Guiney | - | 2 | 26.5 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 13.5 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 71.4 | 50.0 | - | 71.8 | 72.5 |
| Shorna Preston | - | 2 | 25.1 | 13.0 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 9.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 63.0 | 55.6 |
| Bella Green | - | 2 | 13.7 | 10.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 58.8 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 61.8 | 61.8 |
| Meghan Fiso | - | 2 | 25.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.5 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 56.0 | 52.9 |
| Seleh Harmon | - | 2 | 27.8 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 34.8 | 28.6 | 100.0 | - | 44.8 | 43.5 |
| Quinn VanSickle | - | 1 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Taija Sta. Maria | - | 2 | 27.9 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 56.3 | 62.5 |
| Lina Falk | - | 1 | 18.5 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 25.4 | 21.4 |
| Ivory Finley | - | 2 | 14.8 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Irune Orio | - | 2 | 17.9 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 18.2 | 18.2 |
| Zoe Shanahan | - | 2 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Ilinca Belegante | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG