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Pensacola Christian

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Pensacola Christian
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1098 (#148) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1050 (#180) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.5 (#247) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.1 (#336) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.919 (#227) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.6 More → 0.951 (#129) NetEff +20.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.9 More → 0.138 (#524) AdjNet -15.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.0 More → 0.120 (#531) AdjNet -17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 66.3 More → 0.275 (#524) AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 66.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 61.0 More → 0.551 (#302) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 61.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.586 (#301) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.581 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 270 | GP 4 More → 1177 (#82) RD 270 | GP 4

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-13 @ Covenant W 85 - 74
2025-11-15 @ MUW W 91 - 60
2025-11-21 vs Wesleyan (GA) L 0 - 0
2025-11-22 vs Covenant W 67 - 51
2026-01-10 @ Warren Wilson W 74 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sky Boyd - 3 28.9 20.7 11.0 1.7 3.3 0.7 4.7 15.3 17.3 - - - 56.5 40.0 61.5 - 59.9 58.7
Boyd, Sky - 1 28.0 18.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 13.0 20.0 - - - 61.5 0 50.0 - 61.0 61.5
Brooklyn Bosher - 3 32.1 17.7 7.7 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 14.7 13.7 - - - 38.6 40.7 100.0 - 55.8 51.1
Bosher, Brooklyn - 1 33.0 17.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 20.0 2.0 - - - 35.0 30.0 0 - 42.5 42.5
Autumn Boutwell - 3 21.0 16.7 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.0 13.0 5.7 - - - 43.6 45.2 100.0 - 62.7 61.5
Ahrens, Amy - 1 23.0 12.0 6.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 20.0 - - - 71.4 0 100.0 - 76.1 71.4
Amy Ahrens - 3 24.1 9.3 7.3 2.7 1.0 0.7 2.0 7.3 11.7 - - - 63.6 0.0 0.0 - 60.0 63.6
Moilan, Reagan - 1 20.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
Abby Matney - 3 17.5 6.7 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.3 - - - 53.3 44.4 0 - 66.7 66.7
Coalson, Micah - 1 23.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Reagan Moilan - 3 17.4 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.3 3.7 - - - 23.1 27.3 100.0 - 48.0 34.6
Boutwell, Autumn - 1 22.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 -1.0 - - - 25.0 20.0 0 - 31.2 31.2
Micah Coalson - 3 21.2 4.3 4.7 6.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 10.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 75.0 - 60.4 55.6
Mady Bruce - 1 2.1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -31 -5.2 -77.1 0 0 100.0 -1.69 113.6 0
Dudek, Amber - 1 20.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kayla Cassarino - 2 2.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Amber Dudek - 3 12.7 0.7 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.0 3.3 1.3 - - - 10.0 0.0 0 - 10.0 10.0
Lydia Adams - 3 13.8 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.7 -1.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 0.0 - 14.8 20.0
Maddie Fowler - 3 3.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Maddie Sellers - 2 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 -2 -0.4 -40.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.03 0.0 0.0
Alissa Brewer - 1 3.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Grace Bieber - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lilly Talladay - 1 2.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Matney, Abby - 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Adams, Lydia - 1 16.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Fowler, Maddie - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG