Pensacola Christian
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#526) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 881 (#517) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 942 (#614) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -20.1 (#367) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -28.8 (#754) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.186 (#675) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.056 (#693) | AdjNet -24.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.054 (#691) | AdjNet -24.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.158 (#692) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 81.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.264 (#698) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 78.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.140 (#719) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.156 (#717) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 774 (#566) | RD 228 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | vs | LaGrange | W | 79 - 78 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Huntingdon | L | 88 - 89 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Huntingdon | L | 54 - 84 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Warren Wilson | L | 67 - 85 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah McAllister | - | 1 | 30.0 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 132 | 8.2 | 40.6 | 58.8 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0.42 | 72.9 | 67.6 |
| Kaiden Pack | - | 2 | 31.8 | 22.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 19.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 43.6 | 15.4 | 61.5 | - | 49.2 | 46.2 |
| Josh Azucena | - | 2 | 26.6 | 15.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 20.0 | 70.0 | - | 64.1 | 60.5 |
| Devin Dowell | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.99 | 35.2 | 23.1 |
| Colin Wilkerson | - | 2 | 31.4 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 50.0 | 80.0 | - | 70.4 | 66.7 |
| Trenton Dillard | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -3.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -3.0 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Blaise Conlon | - | 3 | 28.1 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 6.7 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 60.0 | 40.0 | - | 60.8 | 62.5 |
| Brodie Scott | - | 1 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 84 | 6.5 | 61.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.66 | 58.0 | 41.7 |
| Liam Gerdts | - | 3 | 29.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 26.3 | 100.0 | - | 42.7 | 41.7 |
| Chadan Hamiliton | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 14 | 1.8 | 49.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.67 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Tyler Harrington | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -26 | -2.2 | -100.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.41 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Cade Butcher | - | 2 | 10.4 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.1 | 50.0 |
| Titus Anderson | - | 3 | 17.8 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 49 | 7.0 | 9.6 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 3.12 | 61.5 | 61.5 |
| Lucas Hernandez | - | 1 | 16.9 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Aaron Wagner | - | 1 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 19 | 1.1 | 14.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.4 | 41.2 | 0.0 |
| Jace Herrell | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 87 | 5.4 | 40.2 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.04 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Parker Gonzalez | - | 1 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.06 | 33.2 | 0.0 |
| Goodnews Akonafua | - | 3 | 16.8 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Trevor Longo | - | 2 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Stephen Fike | - | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Austen Colton | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 54 | 4.2 | 24.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.47 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Courtland Walker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Green | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.7 | -58.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.77 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Foster | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG