Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#312) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1122 (#111) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#282) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 990 (#488) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.3 (#306) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.3 (#536) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#52) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.547 (#430) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#35) | NetEff +73.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 1.000 (#21) | AdjNet +67.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.027 (#634) | AdjNet -31.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 1.000 (#26) | AdjNet +66.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.023 (#635) | AdjNet -31.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.985 (#18) | AdjO 89.8 | AdjD 43.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.137 (#637) | AdjO 47.9 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.415 (#519) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#544) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.305 (#532) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 959 (#368) | RD 74 | GP 62 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Lycoming | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2015-12-03 | vs | Elmira | L | 47 - 82 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Wilson | W | 80 - 51 |
| 2015-12-06 | vs | Gallaudet | L | 43 - 64 |
| 2016-01-05 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 87 - 65 |
| 2016-01-07 | vs | Lancaster Bible | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Gallaudet | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2016-01-10 | @ | Wilson | W | 93 - 69 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Saint Elizabeth | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 51 - 54 |
| 2016-01-24 | vs | SUNY Poly | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2016-01-27 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | L | 74 - 91 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ | Cazenovia | L | 75 - 93 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Wells | L | 60 - 104 |
| 2016-02-14 | vs | Keuka | L | 54 - 74 |
| 2016-02-19 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | L | 48 - 91 |
| 2016-02-22 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 65 - 91 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.